Serie A
Round 7 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
AS RomaHomeWWDWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
GenoaAwayWLWWW602515
AS Roma winDrawGenoa win
Serie A
Round 7 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
AS RomaHomeWWDWWGenoaAwayWLWWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.63 1.80 : 0.83
- Favourite
- 60% AS Roma
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for AS Roma vs Genoa
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.66 | 4.06 | 5.97 | 2.01 | 1.93 | 1.92 | 1.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AS Roma to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best AS Roma price at 1.66, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.06 and 1xBet have Genoa longest at 5.97.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.92 (1xBet) and no 1.80 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
60%
Our prediction
AS Roma to win
Double chanceAS Roma or draw
84% chance1.18
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.93
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma
38% chance2.61fair
AS Roma vs Genoa odds movement
AS Roma win1.66unchanged
Draw4.06unchanged
Genoa win5.97-0.03
Over 2.5 goals2.01unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.93unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
AS Roma vs Genoa prediction
AS Roma vs Genoa prediction and best bet
AS Roma vs Genoa prediction for the Serie A on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes AS Roma a narrow favourite at 60%, with the draw at 25% and Genoa at 16%.
AS Roma are expected to score 1.80 and Genoa 0.83, so the total line is 2.63 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 48%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
AS Roma to win is the main selection, rated 60%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.66. That price implies 60%, 1 points over the model figure.
AS Roma or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.18.
Form check: AS Roma have won 4 of their last 5 with 18 scored and 7 conceded, Genoa 4 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 4.
AS Roma vs Genoa goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 73%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.93 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 48%: AS Roma find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Genoa in 56%. AS Roma keep a clean sheet 44% of the time and Genoa 17%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13%, then 2-0 at 11.7% and 1-1 at 10.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market for AS Roma vs Genoa
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AS Roma vs Genoa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
AS Roma to win60%1.66
Draw25%4.06
Genoa to win16%5.97
AS Roma, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
Genoa, draw no bet21%fair 4.78
Double chance
AS Roma or draw84%1.18
Genoa or draw40%2.42
AS Roma or Genoa (no draw)76%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%2.01
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals52%1.93
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.92
Not both teams to score52%1.80
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
AS Roma to score84%fair 1.20
Genoa to score56%fair 1.77
AS Roma clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Genoa clean sheet17%fair 6.06
AS Roma to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Genoa to win to nil15%fair 6.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013%
2-011.7%
1-110.8%
2-19.7%
0-07.2%
3-07%
Half-time / full-time
AS Roma / AS Roma38.3%
Draw / AS Roma19.4%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Genoa / Genoa9.1%
Draw / Genoa6.8%
Questions about AS Roma vs Genoa
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
The model gives AS Roma the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in AS Roma vs Genoa?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in AS Roma vs Genoa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. AS Roma find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Genoa in 56%.
What time does AS Roma vs Genoa kick off?
Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.