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Serie A Round 9 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
SassuoloHomeLDLLL
2:6Half-time 2:4
LazioAwayWWWWW
262648
Sassuolo winDrawLazio win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.99
1.24 : 1.75
Favourite
48%
Lazio
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Sassuolo vs Lazio odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.583.642.161.742.281.552.32Bet
22Bet3.883.741.901.622.301.532.53Bet
BC.Game3.703.651.921.602.261.562.34Bet
Betwinner3.923.781.921.622.301.532.53Bet
Melbet3.923.781.921.622.301.532.53Bet
Stake3.703.801.931.562.321.542.39Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Lazio to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sassuolo vs Lazio are 3.92 for Sassuolo at Melbet, 3.80 for the draw at Stake and 2.16 for Lazio at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.32 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (BC.Game) and no 2.53 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Lazio or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.24 : 1.75+1.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lazio, full-time Lazio
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair

Sassuolo vs Lazio odds movement

Sassuolo win3.92unchanged
Draw3.80unchanged
Lazio win2.16-0.02
Over 2.5 goals1.74unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.32unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction

Our Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction and pick

Sassuolo host Lazio on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the Serie A, and the model has Lazio at 48%, the draw at 26% and Sassuolo at 26%: that is the Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.99 in total, split 1.24 to Sassuolo and 1.75 to Lazio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is lazio or draw at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 1 points under the model figure.

Form check: Sassuolo have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 15 conceded, Lazio 5 of 5 scoring 16 and conceding 5.

Sassuolo vs Lazio goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.74.

The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Sassuolo scoring in 71% of runs and Lazio in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Sassuolo and 29% for Lazio.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 1-2 at 9.5% and 0-1 at 8.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Lazio, full-time Lazio is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market rated for Sassuolo vs Lazio

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 26% / 48% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Sassuolo to win26%3.92
Draw26%3.80
Lazio to win48%2.16
Sassuolo, draw no bet35%fair 2.87
Lazio, draw no bet65%fair 1.53

Double chance

Sassuolo or draw52%1.92
Lazio or draw74%1.36
Sassuolo or Lazio (no draw)74%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.32
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.56
Not both teams to score39%2.53

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Sassuolo to score71%fair 1.41
Lazio to score83%fair 1.21
Sassuolo clean sheet17%fair 5.75
Lazio clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Sassuolo to win to nil16%fair 6.25
Lazio to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
1-29.5%
0-18.8%
0-27.7%
2-16.8%
1-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

Lazio / Lazio30.6%
Draw / Lazio15.8%
Sassuolo / Sassuolo15.5%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / Sassuolo9.7%

Questions about Sassuolo vs Lazio

Sassuolo or Lazio: which side does the model back?

The model gives Lazio the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Sassuolo vs Lazio?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Lazio?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Sassuolo find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Lazio in 83%.

What time does Sassuolo vs Lazio kick off?

Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sassuolo v LazioLazio or draw, 74%
1.36Bet