LazioAwayWWWWW
LazioAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.99 1.24 : 1.75
- Favourite
- 48% Lazio
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Sassuolo vs Lazio odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.58 | 3.64 | 2.16 | 1.74 | 2.28 | 1.55 | 2.32 | Bet | |
| 3.88 | 3.74 | 1.90 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.53 | Bet | |
| 3.70 | 3.65 | 1.92 | 1.60 | 2.26 | 1.56 | 2.34 | Bet | |
| 3.92 | 3.78 | 1.92 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.53 | Bet | |
| 3.92 | 3.78 | 1.92 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.53 | Bet | |
| 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.93 | 1.56 | 2.32 | 1.54 | 2.39 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Sassuolo vs Lazio are 3.92 for Sassuolo at Melbet, 3.80 for the draw at Stake and 2.16 for Lazio at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.32 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (BC.Game) and no 2.53 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
Sassuolo vs Lazio odds movement
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction
Our Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction and pick
Sassuolo host Lazio on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the Serie A, and the model has Lazio at 48%, the draw at 26% and Sassuolo at 26%: that is the Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.99 in total, split 1.24 to Sassuolo and 1.75 to Lazio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 61%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is lazio or draw at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 1 points under the model figure.
Form check: Sassuolo have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 15 conceded, Lazio 5 of 5 scoring 16 and conceding 5.
Sassuolo vs Lazio goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.74.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Sassuolo scoring in 71% of runs and Lazio in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Sassuolo and 29% for Lazio.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 1-2 at 9.5% and 0-1 at 8.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Lazio, full-time Lazio is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Sassuolo vs Lazio
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 26% / 48% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about Sassuolo vs Lazio
Sassuolo or Lazio: which side does the model back?
The model gives Lazio the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Sassuolo vs Lazio?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Lazio?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Sassuolo find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Lazio in 83%.
What time does Sassuolo vs Lazio kick off?
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

