Iraqi League
Al Quwa Al JawiyaHomeLDLWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Al Minaa BasraAwayDWLWD492823
Al Quwa Al Jawiya winDrawAl Minaa Basra win
Al Quwa Al JawiyaHomeLDLWDAl Minaa BasraAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.41 1.47 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 49% Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.08 | 3.64 | 2.11 | 1.62 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.71 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.96 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.12 | 1.65 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.71 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.71 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Al Quwa Al Jawiya price at 2.01, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.19 and BC.Game have Al Minaa Basra longest at 3.75.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.67 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (22Bet) and no 1.80 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Quwa Al Jawiya, full-time Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fair
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra prediction, who wins and at what price
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al Minaa Basra on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Iraqi League, and the model has Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 49%, the draw at 28% and Al Minaa Basra at 23%: that is the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.41 in total, split 1.47 to Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.94 to Al Minaa Basra. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra is al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw, a 77% chance. At 1.23 with Melbet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 1 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 5 conceded, Al Minaa Basra 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 4.
A low-scoring Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.67.
Both teams to score is 49%: Al Quwa Al Jawiya find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Al Minaa Basra in 61%. Al Quwa Al Jawiya keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Al Minaa Basra 23%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra: 1-0 (13.2%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Quwa Al Jawiya, full-time Al Quwa Al Jawiya leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra
The grid built from 1.47 and 0.94 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win49%2.01
Draw28%3.19
Al Minaa Basra to win23%3.75
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Al Minaa Basra, draw no bet32%fair 3.14
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw77%1.23
Al Minaa Basra or draw51%1.72
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Al Minaa Basra (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.13
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Under 2.5 goals58%1.67
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score49%2.00
Not both teams to score52%1.80
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.39
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to score77%fair 1.30
Al Minaa Basra to score61%fair 1.64
Al Quwa Al Jawiya clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Al Minaa Basra clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Al Minaa Basra to win to nil21%fair 4.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.2%
1-112.4%
2-09.7%
2-19.1%
0-09%
0-18.4%
Half-time / full-time
Al Quwa Al Jawiya / Al Quwa Al Jawiya29.9%
Draw / Al Quwa Al Jawiya17.3%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Al Minaa Basra / Al Minaa Basra13.3%
Draw / Al Minaa Basra9.5%
Questions about Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
The model gives Al Quwa Al Jawiya the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Al Quwa Al Jawiya find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Al Minaa Basra in 61%.
What time does Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra kick off?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.