AFC Champions League Elite
Al Quwa Al JawiyaHomeLDLWD
1:0Half-time 0:0
PakhtakorAwayDDLLW253144
Al Quwa Al Jawiya winDrawPakhtakor win
Al Quwa Al JawiyaHomeLDLWDPakhtakorAwayDDLLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.42 1.02 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 44% Pakhtakor
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.64 | 3.41 | 2.08 | 2.20 | 1.69 | 1.89 | 1.81 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.48 | 3.38 | 2.13 | 2.24 | 1.67 | 1.88 | 1.95 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.40 | 3.15 | 2.10 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.48 | 3.38 | 2.13 | 2.23 | 1.66 | 1.86 | 1.94 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.26 | 3.36 | 2.22 | 2.06 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Pakhtakor to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Al Quwa Al Jawiya price at 3.64, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.41 and Melbet have Pakhtakor longest at 2.22.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.24 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.77 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.89 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Pakhtakor or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.89
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pakhtakor, full-time Pakhtakor
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fair
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor prediction and best bet
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Pakhtakor on Monday, 26 October 2026 in the AFC Champions League Elite, and the model has Pakhtakor at 44%, the draw at 31% and Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 25%: that is the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor prediction in one line.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya are expected to score 1.02 and Pakhtakor 1.40, so the total line is 2.42 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is pakhtakor or draw at 75%. At 1.34 with Melbet the market prices it at 75%, against 75% from the model.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Al Quwa Al Jawiya stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Pakhtakor show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor reads 70% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; Melbet pay 1.77.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Al Quwa Al Jawiya score in 64% of simulations against a 36% clean sheet for Pakhtakor; Pakhtakor score in 75% while Al Quwa Al Jawiya shut them out 25% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor: 1-1 (12.7%), 0-1 (12.4%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Pakhtakor, full-time Pakhtakor is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market rated for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win25%3.64
Draw31%3.41
Pakhtakor to win44%2.22
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, draw no bet36%fair 2.75
Pakhtakor, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw56%1.76
Pakhtakor or draw75%1.34
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Pakhtakor (no draw)70%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.44
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.20
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Under 2.5 goals57%1.77
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.89
Not both teams to score50%2.06
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.37
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to score64%fair 1.56
Pakhtakor to score75%fair 1.33
Al Quwa Al Jawiya clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Pakhtakor clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Pakhtakor to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-112.4%
1-09.1%
0-08.9%
1-28.9%
0-28.7%
Half-time / full-time
Pakhtakor / Pakhtakor27.2%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Draw / Pakhtakor16.2%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya / Al Quwa Al Jawiya15.3%
Draw / Al Quwa Al Jawiya10.6%
Questions about Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor
Who is favourite in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor?
The model gives Pakhtakor the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Al Quwa Al Jawiya find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Pakhtakor in 75%.
What time does Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor kick off?
Kick-off is 18:15 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.