Al-Karma vs Duhok prediction

Al-Karma vs Duhok prediction, who wins and at what price

Al-Karma vs Duhok prediction for the Iraqi League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Al-Karma a narrow favourite at 51%, with the draw at 27% and Duhok at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.59 in total, split 1.59 to Al-Karma and 1.00 to Duhok. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 51%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is al-Karma to win at 51%. At 1.81 with 1xBet the market prices it at 55%, against 51% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al-Karma vs Duhok.

For a safer line, al-Karma or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.17.

Al-Karma average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Duhok 1.8 and 1.2 across 5.

Al-Karma vs Duhok goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.78 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 51%: Al-Karma find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Duhok in 63%. Al-Karma keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Duhok 20%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11.9%, followed by 1-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Karma, full-time Al-Karma leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.