Iraqi League
Al TalabaHomeDDWWD
1:0Half-time 0:0
Al Quwa Al JawiyaAwayLDLWD333829
Al Talaba winDrawAl Quwa Al Jawiya win
Al TalabaHomeDDWWDAl Quwa Al JawiyaAwayLDLWD- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.33 1.19 : 1.14
- Favourite
- 33% Al Talaba
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.60 | 2.65 | 2.78 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 1.81 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Talaba to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya prediction: Al Talaba 2.60 (1xBet), draw 2.65 (1xBet), Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2.78 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 89.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Al Talaba or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.61
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Talaba, full-time Al Talaba
21% chance4.67fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya prediction
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya prediction for Thursday, 22 October 2026: 33% home, 38% draw and 29% away in the Iraqi League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.33 in total, split 1.19 to Al Talaba and 1.14 to Al Quwa Al Jawiya. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is al Talaba or draw at 71%. At 1.31 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
The draw is live at 38%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Al Talaba have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 4 conceded, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 68%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 59% and under 3.5 is 79%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Al Talaba score in 70% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for Al Quwa Al Jawiya; Al Quwa Al Jawiya score in 68% while Al Talaba shut them out 32% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%, followed by 1-0 (11.6%) and 0-1 (11.1%).
With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Talaba, full-time Al Talaba is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
All markets, Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al Talaba to win33%2.60
Draw38%2.65
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win29%2.78
Al Talaba, draw no bet53%fair 1.90
Al Quwa Al Jawiya, draw no bet48%fair 2.11
Double chance
Al Talaba or draw71%1.31
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw68%1.36
Al Talaba or Al Quwa Al Jawiya (no draw)62%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals42%2.13
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.49
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 2.5 goals59%1.61
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.81
Not both teams to score50%1.86
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.55
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Al Talaba to score70%fair 1.44
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to score68%fair 1.47
Al Talaba clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Al Quwa Al Jawiya clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Al Talaba to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win to nil27%fair 3.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
1-011.6%
0-111.1%
0-09.7%
2-17.9%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Al Talaba / Al Talaba21.4%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya / Al Quwa Al Jawiya19.8%
Draw / Draw18.3%
Draw / Al Talaba13.9%
Draw / Al Quwa Al Jawiya13.1%
Questions about Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Talaba or Al Quwa Al Jawiya: which side does the model back?
The model gives Al Talaba the best chance at 33%, with the draw at 38%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Al Talaba find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Al Quwa Al Jawiya in 68%.
When is Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya and where is the result shown?
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya starts at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.