Iraqi League
MosulHomeLLWDL
2:4Half-time 2:0
Al-Jolan SCAwayDDWWW462925
Mosul winDrawAl-Jolan SC win
MosulHomeLLWDLAl-Jolan SCAwayDDWWW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.24 1.33 : 0.91
- Favourite
- 46% Mosul
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.97 | 3.21 | 3.83 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.97 | 3.15 | 3.65 | 2.22 | 1.59 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.97 | 3.19 | 3.86 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.97 | 3.19 | 3.86 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mosul to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC are 1.97 for Mosul at BC.Game, 3.21 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.86 for Al-Jolan SC at Betwinner.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.25 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.59 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.18 (22Bet) and no 1.61 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Mosul or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.59
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.53fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.04fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mosul, full-time Mosul
28% chance3.64fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair
Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC prediction
Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC prediction, who wins and at what price
The Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC prediction leans to Mosul: 46% against 25% for Al-Jolan SC, with 29% left for the draw, in the Iraqi League on Thursday, 29 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.24 in total, split 1.33 to Mosul and 0.91 to Al-Jolan SC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 45%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Mosul or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 22Bet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC.
Over the last 5 matches Mosul stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Jolan SC show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC
Under 2.5 goals is rated 62% and under 3.5 81%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 66% and over 2.5 at 39%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; BC.Game pay 1.59.
The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Mosul scoring in 74% of runs and Al-Jolan SC in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Mosul and 26% for Al-Jolan SC.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC: 1-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mosul, full-time Mosul is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
All markets, Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 29% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mosul to win46%1.97
Draw29%3.21
Al-Jolan SC to win25%3.86
Mosul, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Al-Jolan SC, draw no bet35%fair 2.85
Double chance
Mosul or draw75%1.22
Al-Jolan SC or draw54%1.75
Mosul or Al-Jolan SC (no draw)71%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.53
Over 2.5 goals39%2.25
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.29
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.99
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.90
Under 2.5 goals62%1.59
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.23
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.18
Not both teams to score55%1.61
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.75
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Mosul to score74%fair 1.36
Al-Jolan SC to score60%fair 1.68
Mosul clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Al-Jolan SC clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Mosul to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Al-Jolan SC to win to nil23%fair 4.35
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.2%
1-112.9%
0-010.6%
0-19.7%
2-09.4%
2-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
Mosul / Mosul27.5%
Draw / Draw18.8%
Draw / Mosul16.9%
Al-Jolan SC / Al-Jolan SC14.1%
Draw / Al-Jolan SC10.3%
Questions about Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC
Who is favourite in Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC?
The model gives Mosul the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.
Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Mosul find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Al-Jolan SC in 60%.
What time does Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC kick off?
Mosul vs Al-Jolan SC starts at 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.