Iraqi League
Al KarkhHomeLDDL
1:2Half-time 1:1
GharrafAwayDWDW452926
Al Karkh winDrawGharraf win
Al KarkhHomeLDDLGharrafAwayDWDW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.31 1.34 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 45% Al Karkh
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Al Karkh vs Gharraf
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.20 | 2.97 | 3.14 | 2.24 | 1.55 | 1.91 | 1.77 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.18 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.22 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.28 | 1.57 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.20 | 2.97 | 3.15 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.77 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.20 | 2.97 | 3.15 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Karkh to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Al Karkh vs Gharraf prediction: Al Karkh 2.22 (BC.Game), draw 3.18 (22Bet), Gharraf 3.18 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.28 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.57 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.09 (22Bet) and no 1.77 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Al Karkh or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.57
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Karkh, full-time Al Karkh
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.55fair
Al Karkh vs Gharraf prediction
Al Karkh vs Gharraf prediction and best bet
Al Karkh host Gharraf on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Iraqi League, and the model has Al Karkh at 45%, the draw at 29% and Gharraf at 26%: that is the Al Karkh vs Gharraf prediction in one line.
Al Karkh are expected to score 1.34 and Gharraf 0.97, so the total line is 2.31 goals; over 2.5 lands at 40% and BTTS at 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Al Karkh vs Gharraf is al Karkh or draw, a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 22Bet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 4 matches Al Karkh stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gharraf show 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Al Karkh vs Gharraf
On the goal lines Al Karkh vs Gharraf reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.57 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Al Karkh scoring in 74% of runs and Gharraf in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for Al Karkh and 26% for Gharraf.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.3%, then 1-1 at 12.9% and 0-0 at 9.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Karkh, full-time Al Karkh is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
All markets, Al Karkh vs Gharraf
The grid built from 1.34 and 0.97 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Karkh to win45%2.22
Draw29%3.18
Gharraf to win26%3.18
Al Karkh, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Gharraf, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
Double chance
Al Karkh or draw74%1.30
Gharraf or draw55%1.59
Al Karkh or Gharraf (no draw)71%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.28
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.93
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.76
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.04
Under 2.5 goals60%1.57
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score47%2.09
Not both teams to score53%1.77
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.58
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Al Karkh to score74%fair 1.36
Gharraf to score62%fair 1.61
Al Karkh clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Gharraf clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Al Karkh to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Gharraf to win to nil24%fair 4.17
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.3%
1-112.9%
0-09.9%
0-19.6%
2-08.9%
2-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
Al Karkh / Al Karkh26.8%
Draw / Draw18.2%
Draw / Al Karkh16.4%
Gharraf / Gharraf15%
Draw / Gharraf10.7%
Questions about Al Karkh vs Gharraf
Who will win Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
The model gives Al Karkh the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Al Karkh vs Gharraf both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Al Karkh find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Gharraf in 62%.
When do Al Karkh play Gharraf?
Al Karkh vs Gharraf starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.