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Live 11 UTC
Iraqi League Round 12 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
NaftHomeWWWDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Al KahrabaaAwayLDLLL
483022
Naft winDrawAl Kahrabaa win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.12
1.32 : 0.80
Favourite
48%
Naft
Over 2.5 goals
35%
model chance
Both teams to score
42%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.843.183.982.361.502.031.67Bet
22Bet2.053.283.482.421.502.361.52Bet
BC.Game2.123.003.402.321.55--Bet
Betwinner2.053.283.482.421.502.361.52Bet
Melbet2.053.283.482.421.502.361.52Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Naft to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa are 2.12 for Naft at BC.Game, 3.28 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.98 for Al Kahrabaa at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 97.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.42 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.55 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.36 (22Bet) and no 1.67 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

78%

Our prediction

Naft or draw
StrongExpected goals 1.32 : 0.80-1.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.55
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Naft, full-time Naft
29% chance3.45fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.63fair

Naft vs Al Kahrabaa prediction

Naft vs Al Kahrabaa prediction, who wins and at what price

Naft are a narrow favourite in the Naft vs Al Kahrabaa prediction, rated 48% to win this Iraqi League match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Al Kahrabaa sit at 22% and the draw at 30%.

Naft are expected to score 1.32 and Al Kahrabaa 0.80, so the total line is 2.12 goals; over 2.5 lands at 35% and BTTS at 42%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is naft or draw at 78%. At 1.26 with Melbet the market prices it at 79%, against 78% from the model.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches Naft stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Al Kahrabaa show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Naft vs Al Kahrabaa? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 65% and under 3.5 84%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 35%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.55 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 42%, built from Naft scoring in 73% of runs and Al Kahrabaa in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Naft and 27% for Al Kahrabaa.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa: 1-0 (15.8%), 1-1 (12.7%) and 0-0 (12%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Naft, full-time Naft is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.

Every market rated for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 30% / 22% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Naft to win48%2.12
Draw30%3.28
Al Kahrabaa to win22%3.98
Naft, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Al Kahrabaa, draw no bet31%fair 3.22

Double chance

Naft or draw78%1.26
Al Kahrabaa or draw52%1.77
Naft or Al Kahrabaa (no draw)70%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.42
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 15.63
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Under 2.5 goals65%1.55
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.20

BTTS

Both teams to score42%2.36
Not both teams to score58%1.67

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.63
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.05
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45

Team goals

Naft to score73%fair 1.36
Al Kahrabaa to score55%fair 1.81
Naft clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Al Kahrabaa clean sheet27%fair 3.75
Naft to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Al Kahrabaa to win to nil20%fair 4.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-015.8%
1-112.7%
0-012%
2-010.5%
0-19.6%
2-18.4%

Half-time / full-time

Naft / Naft29%
Draw / Draw19.8%
Draw / Naft18%
Al Kahrabaa / Al Kahrabaa12.2%
Draw / Al Kahrabaa9.4%

Questions about Naft vs Al Kahrabaa

Naft or Al Kahrabaa: which side does the model back?

The model gives Naft the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Naft vs Al Kahrabaa correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Naft find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Al Kahrabaa in 55%.

When is Naft vs Al Kahrabaa and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 13:45 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Naft v Al KahrabaaNaft or draw, 78%
1.26Bet