Iraqi League
KarbalaHomeLDLLD
2:2Half-time 1:2
Al TalabaAwayDDWWD232849
Karbala winDrawAl Talaba win
KarbalaHomeLDLLDAl TalabaAwayDDWWD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.41 0.93 : 1.48
- Favourite
- 49% Al Talaba
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Karbala vs Al Talaba betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.78 | 3.32 | 1.94 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.85 | 3.25 | 1.89 | 2.10 | 1.66 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.78 | 3.32 | 1.94 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.78 | 3.32 | 1.94 | 2.13 | 1.67 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Talaba to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Karbala vs Al Talaba are 3.85 for Karbala at BC.Game, 3.32 for the draw at Betwinner and 1.94 for Al Talaba at Betwinner.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.67 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.09 (22Bet) and no 1.66 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Al Talaba or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Talaba, full-time Al Talaba
30% chance3.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fair
Karbala vs Al Talaba prediction
Karbala vs Al Talaba prediction and best bet
Al Talaba are a narrow favourite in the Karbala vs Al Talaba prediction, rated 49% to win this Iraqi League match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Karbala sit at 23% and the draw at 28%.
Expected goals are 0.93 for Karbala and 1.48 for Al Talaba, a total of 2.41, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Al Talaba or draw is the main selection, rated 77%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Karbala stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Al Talaba show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Karbala vs Al Talaba? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Karbala vs Al Talaba reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; Betwinner pay 1.67.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Karbala scoring in 61% of runs and Al Talaba in 77%; clean sheets come at 23% for Karbala and 40% for Al Talaba.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.3%, followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-2 (9.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Talaba, full-time Al Talaba leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Karbala vs Al Talaba
The grid built from 0.93 and 1.48 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Karbala to win23%3.85
Draw28%3.32
Al Talaba to win49%1.94
Karbala, draw no bet32%fair 3.14
Al Talaba, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Double chance
Karbala or draw51%1.77
Al Talaba or draw77%1.22
Karbala or Al Talaba (no draw)72%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.13
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Under 2.5 goals57%1.67
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score48%2.09
Not both teams to score52%1.66
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.39
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Karbala to score61%fair 1.65
Al Talaba to score77%fair 1.30
Karbala clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Al Talaba clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Karbala to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Al Talaba to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-113.3%
1-112.4%
0-29.8%
1-29.1%
0-09%
1-08.4%
Half-time / full-time
Al Talaba / Al Talaba30.2%
Draw / Al Talaba17.5%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Karbala / Karbala13%
Draw / Karbala9.4%
Questions about Karbala vs Al Talaba
Karbala or Al Talaba: which side does the model back?
The model gives Al Talaba the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Karbala vs Al Talaba?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Karbala vs Al Talaba both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Karbala find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Al Talaba in 77%.
When do Karbala play Al Talaba?
Kick-off is 14:45 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.