Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Our Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction and pick

Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, and the model has Werder Bremen at 56%, the draw at 22% and SC Paderborn 07 at 22%: that is the Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.09 for Werder Bremen and 1.25 for SC Paderborn 07, a total of 3.34, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 is werder Bremen to win, a 56% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.79 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 0 points above the market.

For a safer line, werder Bremen or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.27.

Over the last 5 matches Werder Bremen stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 64%, built from Werder Bremen scoring in 88% of runs and SC Paderborn 07 in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Werder Bremen and 12% for SC Paderborn 07.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.7%, then 1-1 at 9.3% and 2-0 at 7.7%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Werder Bremen, full-time Werder Bremen is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.