Bundesliga
Round 6 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
Bayer LeverkusenHomeWWLWL
2:1Half-time 1:1
SC FreiburgAwayLLLWW602119
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawSC Freiburg win
Bundesliga
Round 6 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
Bayer LeverkusenHomeWWLWLSC FreiburgAwayLLLWW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.48 2.26 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 60% Bayer Leverkusen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.67 | 5.17 | 1.42 | 2.69 | 1.49 | 2.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bayer Leverkusen to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 1.64 (1xBet), draw 4.67 (1xBet), SC Freiburg 5.17 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.48 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
60%
Our prediction
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw
81% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bayer Leverkusen, full-time Bayer Leverkusen
40% chance2.51fair
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction
Our Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction and pick
The Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction leans to Bayer Leverkusen: 60% against 19% for SC Freiburg, with 21% left for the draw, in the Bundesliga on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.48 in total, split 2.26 to Bayer Leverkusen and 1.22 to SC Freiburg. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 64%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Bayer Leverkusen to win is the main selection, rated 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.64 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Bayer Leverkusen or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.21.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Bayer Leverkusen average 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, SC Freiburg 1.4 and 2.2 across 5.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.42.
Both teams to score is 64%: Bayer Leverkusen find the net in 90% of simulated matches and SC Freiburg in 71%. Bayer Leverkusen keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and SC Freiburg 10%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.6%, then 1-1 at 8.5% and 2-0 at 7.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bayer Leverkusen, full-time Bayer Leverkusen is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Every market for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win60%1.64
Draw21%4.67
SC Freiburg to win19%5.17
Bayer Leverkusen, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
SC Freiburg, draw no bet24%fair 4.15
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw81%1.21
SC Freiburg or draw40%2.45
Bayer Leverkusen or SC Freiburg (no draw)79%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.42
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.25
Under 2.5 goals33%2.69
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.85
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.49
Not both teams to score36%2.48
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Bayer Leverkusen to score90%fair 1.12
SC Freiburg to score71%fair 1.42
Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet30%fair 3.39
SC Freiburg clean sheet10%fair 9.62
Bayer Leverkusen to win to nil27%fair 3.68
SC Freiburg to win to nil10%fair 10.42
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.6%
1-18.5%
2-07.9%
3-17.2%
1-07%
3-05.9%
Half-time / full-time
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen39.9%
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen17.2%
SC Freiburg / SC Freiburg11.1%
Draw / Draw10.2%
Draw / SC Freiburg6.9%
Questions about Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
The model gives Bayer Leverkusen the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Bayer Leverkusen find the net in 90% of simulated matches and SC Freiburg in 71%.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg and where is the result shown?
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg starts at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.