Bundesliga
Round 7 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
SC Paderborn 07HomeLDWLD
1:0Half-time 0:0
Hamburger SVAwayWWLLL432631
SC Paderborn 07 winDrawHamburger SV win
Bundesliga
Round 7 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
SC Paderborn 07HomeLDWLDHamburger SVAwayWWLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.09 1.67 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 43% SC Paderborn 07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.86 | 2.89 | 1.68 | 2.38 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
SC Paderborn 07 to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best SC Paderborn 07 price at 2.44, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.86 and 1xBet have Hamburger SV longest at 2.89.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SC Paderborn 07, full-time SC Paderborn 07
27% chance3.77fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction, who wins and at what price
SC Paderborn 07 are marginally ahead in the SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction, rated 43% to win this Bundesliga match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Hamburger SV sit at 31% and the draw at 26%.
SC Paderborn 07 are expected to score 1.67 and Hamburger SV 1.42, so the total line is 3.09 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV is sC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV (no draw), a 74% chance. At 1.32 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 74% from the model.
Form check: SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 5 conceded, Hamburger SV 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV reads 81% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.68 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. SC Paderborn 07 score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Hamburger SV; Hamburger SV score in 76% while SC Paderborn 07 shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time SC Paderborn 07, full-time SC Paderborn 07 is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
All markets, SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 26% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
SC Paderborn 07 to win43%2.44
Draw26%3.86
Hamburger SV to win31%2.89
SC Paderborn 07, draw no bet58%fair 1.73
Hamburger SV, draw no bet42%fair 2.36
Double chance
SC Paderborn 07 or draw69%1.49
Hamburger SV or draw57%1.65
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV (no draw)74%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.68
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.00
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 2.5 goals41%2.38
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.51
Not both teams to score38%2.42
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.47
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
SC Paderborn 07 to score81%fair 1.23
Hamburger SV to score76%fair 1.32
SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Hamburger SV clean sheet19%fair 5.32
SC Paderborn 07 to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Hamburger SV to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
2-19%
1-27.7%
1-07.6%
0-16.5%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
SC Paderborn 07 / SC Paderborn 0726.5%
Hamburger SV / Hamburger SV19.2%
Draw / SC Paderborn 0714.1%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Hamburger SV11.2%
Questions about SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV: which side does the model back?
The model gives SC Paderborn 07 the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. SC Paderborn 07 find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Hamburger SV in 76%.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.