Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Our Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction and pick

VfB Stuttgart are a narrow favourite in the Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction, rated 53% to win this Bundesliga match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Hamburger SV sit at 24% and the draw at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 3.59 in total, split 1.44 to Hamburger SV and 2.15 to VfB Stuttgart. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 69%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart is vfB Stuttgart to win, a 53% chance. At 1.85 with 1xBet the market prices it at 54%, against 53% from the model.

Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.29.

Hamburger SV average 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, VfB Stuttgart 1.6 and 1.4 across 5.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 69%, over 3.5 at 48%; under 2.5 is 31% and under 3.5 is 52%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; 1xBet pay 1.36.

The chance of both teams scoring is 69%, built from Hamburger SV scoring in 76% of runs and VfB Stuttgart in 88%; clean sheets come at 12% for Hamburger SV and 24% for VfB Stuttgart.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.2%, then 1-1 at 8.5% and 2-2 at 6.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time VfB Stuttgart, full-time VfB Stuttgart leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.