SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Our SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction and pick

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction for the DFB-Pokal on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes VfB Stuttgart the clear favourite at 71%, with the draw at 17% and SC Paderborn 07 at 12%.

The goal expectancy is 3.75 in total, split 1.07 to SC Paderborn 07 and 2.68 to VfB Stuttgart. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart is vfB Stuttgart to win, a 71% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.56 at 1xBet, which implies 64%, so the model sits 7 points above the market.

That gap is worth 10.4% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

VfB Stuttgart or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance, priced 1.15.

The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches SC Paderborn 07 stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Stuttgart show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 71%, over 3.5 at 52%; under 2.5 is 29% and under 3.5 is 48%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; 1xBet pay 1.41.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. SC Paderborn 07 score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for VfB Stuttgart; VfB Stuttgart score in 93% while SC Paderborn 07 shut them out 7% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9%, then 0-2 at 8.4% and 1-3 at 8.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time VfB Stuttgart, full-time VfB Stuttgart is the top combination at 49%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.