Skip to the predictions
Live 31 UTC
DFB-Pokal Round of 32 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
Borussia DortmundHomeDWWWD
3:2Half-time 2:0
Werder BremenAwayDDWLW
681715
Borussia Dortmund winDrawWerder Bremen win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.83
2.65 : 1.18
Favourite
68%
Borussia Dortmund
Over 2.5 goals
74%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.435.406.901.343.041.522.40Bet
22Bet1.355.507.601.383.061.632.29Bet
BC.Game1.325.408.001.353.001.592.22Bet
Betwinner1.355.507.601.383.061.632.29Bet
Melbet1.355.507.601.383.061.632.29Bet
Stake1.305.607.00--1.552.20Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Borussia Dortmund to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen are 1.43 for Borussia Dortmund at 1xBet, 5.60 for the draw at Stake and 8.00 for Werder Bremen at BC.Game.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.38 (Melbet) and under 2.5 3.06 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (Melbet) and no 2.40 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

68%

Our prediction

Borussia Dortmund to win
BankerExpected goals 2.65 : 1.18-2.9% against the best price
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw
85% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.38
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Borussia Dortmund, full-time Borussia Dortmund
47% chance2.13fair

Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen head to head

0Borussia Dortmund wins
1Draw
0Werder Bremen wins
  • 9 Oct 26Borussia Dortmund2:2Werder Bremen

1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Borussia Dortmund scored 2, Werder Bremen scored 2.

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction and pick

The Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction leans to Borussia Dortmund: 68% against 15% for Werder Bremen, with 17% left for the draw, in the DFB-Pokal on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.83 in total, split 2.65 to Borussia Dortmund and 1.18 to Werder Bremen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen is borussia Dortmund to win, a 68% chance. At 1.43 with 1xBet the market prices it at 70%, against 68% from the model.

For a safer line, borussia Dortmund or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.13.

With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Borussia Dortmund average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Werder Bremen 2.2 and 1.8 across 5.

Goals forecast for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen reads 90% for over 1.5, 74% for over 2.5 and 53% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 26%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 74%, best priced 1.38 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 62%: Borussia Dortmund find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Werder Bremen in 69%. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Werder Bremen 7%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%, followed by 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Borussia Dortmund, full-time Borussia Dortmund leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Borussia Dortmund to win68%1.43
Draw17%5.60
Werder Bremen to win15%8.00
Borussia Dortmund, draw no bet82%fair 1.23
Werder Bremen, draw no bet19%fair 5.41

Double chance

Borussia Dortmund or draw85%1.13
Werder Bremen or draw32%3.22
Borussia Dortmund or Werder Bremen (no draw)83%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals74%1.38
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.88
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.96
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 2.5 goals26%3.06
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.14

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.63
Not both teams to score38%2.40

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.95
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14

Team goals

Borussia Dortmund to score93%fair 1.08
Werder Bremen to score69%fair 1.44
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Werder Bremen clean sheet7%fair 14.08
Borussia Dortmund to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Werder Bremen to win to nil7%fair 15.38

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19%
3-17.9%
2-07.6%
1-16.8%
3-06.7%
1-05.8%

Half-time / full-time

Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund46.9%
Draw / Borussia Dortmund17.6%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Werder Bremen / Werder Bremen8.3%
Draw / Werder Bremen5.1%

Questions about Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Who is favourite in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

The model gives Borussia Dortmund the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 74% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Borussia Dortmund find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Werder Bremen in 69%.

When is Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund to win, 68%
1.43Bet