Europa League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
LillestromHomeWLWWW
0:6Half-time 0:3
Real SociedadAwayDWWWL151867
Lillestrom winDrawReal Sociedad win
Europa League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
LillestromHomeWLWWWReal SociedadAwayDWWWL- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.45 1.06 : 2.39
- Favourite
- 67% Real Sociedad
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 6.54 | 5.12 | 1.46 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.62 | 2.18 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Real Sociedad to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Lillestrom price at 6.54, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.12 and 1xBet have Real Sociedad longest at 1.46.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.48 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.60 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
67%
Our prediction
Real Sociedad to win
Double chanceReal Sociedad or draw
85% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.48
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Real Sociedad, full-time Real Sociedad
45% chance2.23fair
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction and best bet
Real Sociedad are the clear favourite in the Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction, rated 67% to win this Europa League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026. Lillestrom sit at 15% and the draw at 18%.
Lillestrom are expected to score 1.06 and Real Sociedad 2.39, so the total line is 3.45 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad is real Sociedad to win, a 67% chance. At 1.46 with 1xBet the market prices it at 68%, against 67% from the model.
For a safer line, real Sociedad or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.14.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Lillestrom average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Real Sociedad 3.0 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals forecast for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.48.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Lillestrom scoring in 65% of runs and Real Sociedad in 91%; clean sheets come at 9% for Lillestrom and 35% for Real Sociedad.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.6%, then 0-2 at 9.1% and 1-1 at 8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Real Sociedad, full-time Real Sociedad leads at 45%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Lillestrom to win15%6.54
Draw18%5.12
Real Sociedad to win67%1.46
Lillestrom, draw no bet19%fair 5.35
Real Sociedad, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Double chance
Lillestrom or draw34%2.87
Real Sociedad or draw85%1.14
Lillestrom or Real Sociedad (no draw)82%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.48
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.09
Under 2.5 goals33%2.60
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.62
Not both teams to score42%2.18
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Lillestrom to score65%fair 1.53
Real Sociedad to score91%fair 1.10
Lillestrom clean sheet9%fair 10.87
Real Sociedad clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Lillestrom to win to nil8%fair 11.90
Real Sociedad to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.6%
0-29.1%
1-18%
1-37.7%
0-17.6%
0-37.2%
Half-time / full-time
Real Sociedad / Real Sociedad44.8%
Draw / Real Sociedad18.3%
Draw / Draw9.7%
Lillestrom / Lillestrom8.4%
Draw / Lillestrom5.5%
Questions about Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad
Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives Real Sociedad the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Lillestrom find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Real Sociedad in 91%.
What time does Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.