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Live 18 UTC
Eliteserien Round 12 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
LillestromHomeWLWWW
3:2Half-time 1:0
BrannAwayLWLWW
432433
Lillestrom winDrawBrann win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.49
1.86 : 1.63
Favourite
43%
Lillestrom
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
69%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Lillestrom vs Brann odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.293.902.821.412.801.352.94Bet
22Bet2.453.872.601.392.981.343.26Bet
BC.Game2.364.002.561.372.881.362.90Bet
Betwinner2.323.882.751.372.981.323.11Bet
Melbet2.453.872.601.392.981.343.26Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Lillestrom to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Lillestrom price at 2.45, BC.Game lead the draw at 4.00 and 1xBet have Brann longest at 2.82.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.98 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (BC.Game) and no 3.26 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

Lillestrom or Brann (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.86 : 1.63-4.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
69% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lillestrom, full-time Lillestrom
27% chance3.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.26fair

Lillestrom v Brann head to head

1Lillestrom wins
0Draws
0Brann wins
  • 5 Sep 26Brann1:2Lillestrom

1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Lillestrom scored 2, Brann scored 1.

Lillestrom vs Brann prediction

Our Lillestrom vs Brann prediction and pick

The Lillestrom vs Brann prediction leans to Lillestrom: 43% against 33% for Brann, with 24% left for the draw, in the Eliteserien on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.49 in total, split 1.86 to Lillestrom and 1.63 to Brann. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 69%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Lillestrom vs Brann is lillestrom or Brann (no draw), a 76% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Lillestrom vs Brann.

Lillestrom average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Brann 2.4 and 1.8 across 5.

Lillestrom vs Brann over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.41 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 69%: Lillestrom find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Brann in 80%. Lillestrom keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Brann 16%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Lillestrom vs Brann: 1-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Lillestrom, full-time Lillestrom is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

All markets, Lillestrom vs Brann

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Lillestrom vs Brann, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Lillestrom to win43%2.45
Draw24%4.00
Brann to win33%2.82
Lillestrom, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Brann, draw no bet44%fair 2.28

Double chance

Lillestrom or draw67%1.50
Brann or draw57%1.64
Lillestrom or Brann (no draw)76%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.41
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 2.5 goals33%2.98
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86

BTTS

Both teams to score69%1.36
Not both teams to score31%3.26

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.15
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17

Team goals

Lillestrom to score84%fair 1.18
Brann to score80%fair 1.24
Lillestrom clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Brann clean sheet16%fair 6.41
Lillestrom to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Brann to win to nil14%fair 6.99

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.2%
2-18.6%
1-27.5%
2-27%
1-05.7%
3-15.3%

Half-time / full-time

Lillestrom / Lillestrom26.9%
Brann / Brann20.4%
Draw / Lillestrom13.4%
Draw / Draw11.2%
Draw / Brann11%

Questions about Lillestrom vs Brann

Lillestrom or Brann: which side does the model back?

The model gives Lillestrom the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Lillestrom vs Brann?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Brann?

The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. Lillestrom find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Brann in 80%.

When is Lillestrom vs Brann and where is the result shown?

Lillestrom vs Brann starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Lillestrom v BrannLillestrom or Brann (no draw), 76%
1.26Bet