Eliteserien
SandefjordHomeDLLLW
0:2Half-time 0:2
LillestromAwayWLWWW372637
Sandefjord winDrawLillestrom win
SandefjordHomeDLLLWLillestromAwayWLWWW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.15 1.58 : 1.57
- Favourite
- 37% Sandefjord
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.64 | 2.62 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.44 | 2.58 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sandefjord to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom are 2.56 for Sandefjord at 1xBet, 3.64 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.62 for Lillestrom at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.50 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.28 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.44 (1xBet) and no 2.58 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Sandefjord or Lillestrom (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.50
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.44
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sandefjord, full-time Sandefjord
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction
Our Sandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Sandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction for Sunday, 18 October 2026: 37% home, 26% draw and 37% away in the Eliteserien. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 1.58 to Sandefjord and 1.57 to Lillestrom. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 66%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Sandefjord or Lillestrom (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Sandefjord have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 10 conceded, Lillestrom 4 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sandefjord vs Lillestrom reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.50 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 66%. Sandefjord score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Lillestrom; Lillestrom score in 79% while Sandefjord shut them out 21% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom: 1-1 (10.6%), 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.3%).
With the top scoreline at 10.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sandefjord, full-time Sandefjord is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market rated for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 37% / 26% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sandefjord to win37%2.56
Draw26%3.64
Lillestrom to win37%2.62
Sandefjord, draw no bet50%fair 1.99
Lillestrom, draw no bet50%fair 2.01
Double chance
Sandefjord or draw63%1.50
Lillestrom or draw63%1.52
Sandefjord or Lillestrom (no draw)74%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.50
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals40%2.28
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.44
Not both teams to score34%2.58
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Sandefjord to score79%fair 1.26
Lillestrom to score79%fair 1.26
Sandefjord clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Lillestrom clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Sandefjord to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Lillestrom to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.6%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%
1-06.8%
0-16.7%
2-26.6%
Half-time / full-time
Sandefjord / Sandefjord23%
Lillestrom / Lillestrom22.7%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Sandefjord12.7%
Draw / Lillestrom12.6%
Questions about Sandefjord vs Lillestrom
Sandefjord or Lillestrom: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sandefjord the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Sandefjord find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Lillestrom in 79%.
What time does Sandefjord vs Lillestrom kick off?
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom starts at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.