LaLiga
Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
Athletic ClubHomeDLWWW
2:1Half-time 2:1
Real SociedadAwayDWWWL492625
Athletic Club winDrawReal Sociedad win
LaLiga
Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
Athletic ClubHomeDLWWWReal SociedadAwayDWWWL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.87 1.69 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 49% Athletic Club
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.76 | 3.76 | 1.84 | 2.12 | 1.63 | 2.17 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.97 | 3.78 | 3.56 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.24 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.90 | 3.65 | 3.85 | 1.78 | 1.99 | 1.69 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.77 | 3.59 | 1.86 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.98 | 3.83 | 3.61 | 1.86 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.69 | 2.09 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Athletic Club to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction: Athletic Club 2.07 (1xBet), draw 3.83 (Melbet), Real Sociedad 3.90 (Stake).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.86 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.12 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (Stake) and no 2.24 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Athletic Club or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Athletic Club, full-time Athletic Club
30% chance3.29fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fairWon
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction and best bet
Athletic Club are a narrow favourite in the Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction, rated 49% to win this LaLiga match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Real Sociedad sit at 26% and the draw at 26%.
Athletic Club are expected to score 1.69 and Real Sociedad 1.18, so the total line is 2.87 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad is athletic Club or draw, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 0 points over the model figure.
Over the last 5 matches Athletic Club stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Real Sociedad show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; Melbet pay 1.86.
BTTS yes stands at 58%. Athletic Club score in 82% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Real Sociedad; Real Sociedad score in 69% while Athletic Club shut them out 31% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 11.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Athletic Club, full-time Athletic Club is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 26% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Athletic Club to win49%2.07
Draw26%3.83
Real Sociedad to win26%3.90
Athletic Club, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Real Sociedad, draw no bet34%fair 2.92
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw75%1.34
Real Sociedad or draw51%1.91
Athletic Club or Real Sociedad (no draw)74%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.13
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 2.5 goals46%2.12
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.69
Not both teams to score42%2.24
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.70
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Athletic Club to score82%fair 1.23
Real Sociedad to score69%fair 1.44
Athletic Club clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Real Sociedad clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Athletic Club to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Real Sociedad to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-09.6%
2-19.6%
2-08.1%
0-16.7%
1-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Athletic Club / Athletic Club30.4%
Draw / Athletic Club16.1%
Real Sociedad / Real Sociedad15.2%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Real Sociedad9.7%
Questions about Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad
Athletic Club or Real Sociedad: which side does the model back?
The model gives Athletic Club the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Athletic Club find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Real Sociedad in 69%.
When do Athletic Club play Real Sociedad?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.