Lillestrom vs Sogndal prediction

Lillestrom vs Sogndal prediction and best bet

Lillestrom host Sogndal on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the NM Cupen, and the model has Lillestrom at 90%, the draw at 6% and Sogndal at 4%: that is the Lillestrom vs Sogndal prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.84 in total, split 3.23 to Lillestrom and 0.61 to Sogndal. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 47%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Lillestrom vs Sogndal is lillestrom to win, a 90% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.18. That price implies 84%, 5 points under the model figure.

A 6.3% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

Lillestrom or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 96% chance, priced 1.01.

With the draw down at 6%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Lillestrom stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Sogndal show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Lillestrom vs Sogndal with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 53%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 47%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.35 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 47%: Lillestrom find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Sogndal in 46%. Lillestrom keep a clean sheet 54% of the time and Sogndal 4%.

Correct score: 3-0 leads at 12.1%, then 2-0 at 11.2% and 4-0 at 9.7%.

With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Lillestrom vs Sogndal; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Lillestrom, full-time Lillestrom is the top combination at 65%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.