Ethiopia Premier League
Ethiopia BunnaHomeLWLLD
0:1Half-time 0:1
Mebrat HaylAwayLDWWL153253
Ethiopia Bunna winDrawMebrat Hayl win
Ethiopia BunnaHomeLWLLDMebrat HaylAwayLDWWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.61 0.46 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 53% Mebrat Hayl
- Over 2.5 goals
- 22% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 25% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
53%
Our prediction
Mebrat Hayl to win
1.88fair
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw
85% chance1.17fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
75% chance1.33fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
48% chance2.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
23% chance4.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mebrat Hayl, full-time Mebrat Hayl
31% chance3.23fair
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl prediction
Our Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl prediction and pick
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl prediction for the Ethiopia Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Mebrat Hayl a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 32% and Ethiopia Bunna at 15%.
Ethiopia Bunna are expected to score 0.46 and Mebrat Hayl 1.15, so the total line is 1.61 goals; over 2.5 lands at 22% and BTTS at 25%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is mebrat Hayl to win at 53%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Mebrat Hayl or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches Ethiopia Bunna stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Mebrat Hayl show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl reads 48% for over 1.5, 22% for over 2.5 and 8% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 78%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 78%.
BTTS yes stands at 25%. Ethiopia Bunna score in 37% of simulations against a 63% clean sheet for Mebrat Hayl; Mebrat Hayl score in 68% while Ethiopia Bunna shut them out 32% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 75%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 23%, followed by 0-0 (20%) and 0-2 (13.2%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mebrat Hayl, full-time Mebrat Hayl leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 52%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 15% / 32% / 53% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win15%fair 6.80
Draw32%fair 3.12
Mebrat Hayl to win53%fair 1.88
Ethiopia Bunna, draw no bet22%fair 4.63
Mebrat Hayl, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Double chance
Ethiopia Bunna or draw47%fair 2.14
Mebrat Hayl or draw85%fair 1.17
Ethiopia Bunna or Mebrat Hayl (no draw)68%fair 1.47
Goals
Over 0.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 goals48%fair 2.09
Over 2.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Over 3.5 goals8%fair 12.50
Over 4.5 goals2%fair 41.67
Under 1.5 goals52%fair 1.92
Under 2.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Under 3.5 goals92%fair 1.09
BTTS
Both teams to score25%fair 4.00
Not both teams to score75%fair 1.33
Halves
First-half goal52%fair 1.94
Over 1.5 first-half goals16%fair 6.10
Second-half goal59%fair 1.70
Team goals
Ethiopia Bunna to score37%fair 2.71
Mebrat Hayl to score68%fair 1.46
Ethiopia Bunna clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Mebrat Hayl clean sheet63%fair 1.58
Ethiopia Bunna to win to nil14%fair 7.41
Mebrat Hayl to win to nil49%fair 2.04
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.08
Even number of goals52%fair 1.92
Most likely scores
0-123%
0-020%
0-213.2%
1-110.6%
1-09.2%
1-26.1%
Half-time / full-time
Mebrat Hayl / Mebrat Hayl31%
Draw / Draw25.9%
Draw / Mebrat Hayl21%
Ethiopia Bunna / Ethiopia Bunna7.5%
Draw / Ethiopia Bunna6.9%
Questions about Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
The model gives Mebrat Hayl the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 32%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 23%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 22% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Ethiopia Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
The BTTS yes line is rated 25%. Ethiopia Bunna find the net in 37% of simulated matches and Mebrat Hayl in 68%.
When do Ethiopia Bunna play Mebrat Hayl?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.