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Live 25 UTC
Ethiopia Premier League Round 4 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Welayta DichaHomeDDLWW
6:0Half-time 2:0
Halaba KetemaAwayDWDLW
143155
Welayta Dicha winDrawHalaba Ketema win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
1.65
0.46 : 1.19
Favourite
55%
Halaba Ketema
Over 2.5 goals
23%
model chance
Both teams to score
26%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

55%

Our prediction

Halaba Ketema to win
StrongExpected goals 0.46 : 1.19
1.83fair
Double chanceHalaba Ketema or draw
86% chance1.17fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
74% chance1.34fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
49% chance2.04fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
23% chance4.37fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Halaba Ketema, full-time Halaba Ketema
32% chance3.13fair

Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema prediction

Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema prediction and best bet

The Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema prediction leans to Halaba Ketema: 55% against 14% for Welayta Dicha, with 31% left for the draw, in the Ethiopia Premier League on Monday, 26 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 1.65 in total, split 0.46 to Welayta Dicha and 1.19 to Halaba Ketema. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 23% and both teams to score 26%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is halaba Ketema to win at 55%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Halaba Ketema or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance.

A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Welayta Dicha stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Halaba Ketema show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 49%, over 2.5 at 23%, over 3.5 at 9%; under 2.5 is 77% and under 3.5 is 91%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 77%.

BTTS yes stands at 26%. Welayta Dicha score in 37% of simulations against a 63% clean sheet for Halaba Ketema; Halaba Ketema score in 70% while Welayta Dicha shut them out 30% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 74%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema: 0-1 (22.9%), 0-0 (19.2%) and 0-2 (13.6%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Halaba Ketema, full-time Halaba Ketema leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 52%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 14% / 31% / 55% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Welayta Dicha to win14%fair 7.04
Draw31%fair 3.21
Halaba Ketema to win55%fair 1.83
Welayta Dicha, draw no bet21%fair 4.83
Halaba Ketema, draw no bet79%fair 1.26

Double chance

Welayta Dicha or draw45%fair 2.20
Halaba Ketema or draw86%fair 1.17
Welayta Dicha or Halaba Ketema (no draw)69%fair 1.46

Goals

Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 2.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Over 3.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 37.04
Under 1.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Under 2.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Under 3.5 goals91%fair 1.09

BTTS

Both teams to score26%fair 3.91
Not both teams to score74%fair 1.34

Halves

First-half goal52%fair 1.91
Over 1.5 first-half goals17%fair 5.85
Second-half goal60%fair 1.68

Team goals

Welayta Dicha to score37%fair 2.71
Halaba Ketema to score70%fair 1.44
Welayta Dicha clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Halaba Ketema clean sheet63%fair 1.58
Welayta Dicha to win to nil13%fair 7.63
Halaba Ketema to win to nil50%fair 2.00

Odd or even

Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93

Most likely scores

0-122.9%
0-019.2%
0-213.6%
1-110.5%
1-08.8%
1-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

Halaba Ketema / Halaba Ketema32%
Draw / Draw25.1%
Draw / Halaba Ketema21.3%
Welayta Dicha / Welayta Dicha7.2%
Draw / Welayta Dicha6.7%

Questions about Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema

Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema?

The model gives Halaba Ketema the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 31%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 22.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 23% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema?

The BTTS yes line is rated 26%. Welayta Dicha find the net in 37% of simulated matches and Halaba Ketema in 70%.

When do Welayta Dicha play Halaba Ketema?

Welayta Dicha vs Halaba Ketema starts at 15:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Welayta Dicha v Halaba KetemaHalaba Ketema to win, 55%
1.83fair