Ethiopia Premier League
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Welwalo Adigrat UniAwayDLLL203347
Bahardar winDrawWelwalo Adigrat Uni win
BahardarHomeWLWDWelwalo Adigrat UniAwayDLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.64 0.58 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 47% Welwalo Adigrat Uni
- Over 2.5 goals
- 23% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 29% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
80%
Our prediction
Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw
1.25fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
71% chance1.41fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
49% chance2.05fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
21% chance4.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Welwalo Adigrat Uni, full-time Welwalo Adigrat Uni
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
52% chance1.92fair
Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction
Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction and best bet
The Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction leans to Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 47% against 20% for Bahardar, with 33% left for the draw, in the Ethiopia Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 1.64 in total, split 0.58 to Bahardar and 1.06 to Welwalo Adigrat Uni. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 23% and both teams to score 29%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw is the main selection, rated 80%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 33% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 4 matches Bahardar stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Welwalo Adigrat Uni show 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 4.
A low-scoring Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 77% and under 3.5 92%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 49% and over 2.5 at 23%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 77%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 29%, built from Bahardar scoring in 44% of runs and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Bahardar and 56% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 20.6%, then 0-0 at 19.4% and 1-1 at 11.9%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Welwalo Adigrat Uni, full-time Welwalo Adigrat Uni is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 52%.
Every market rated for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 33% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Bahardar to win20%fair 4.98
Draw33%fair 3.00
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win47%fair 2.15
Bahardar, draw no bet30%fair 3.32
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Double chance
Bahardar or draw53%fair 1.87
Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw80%fair 1.25
Bahardar or Welwalo Adigrat Uni (no draw)67%fair 1.50
Goals
Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Over 2.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Over 3.5 goals8%fair 11.90
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 38.46
Under 1.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Under 2.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Under 3.5 goals92%fair 1.09
BTTS
Both teams to score29%fair 3.45
Not both teams to score71%fair 1.41
Halves
First-half goal52%fair 1.92
Over 1.5 first-half goals17%fair 5.92
Second-half goal59%fair 1.68
Team goals
Bahardar to score44%fair 2.27
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to score65%fair 1.53
Bahardar clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Welwalo Adigrat Uni clean sheet56%fair 1.79
Bahardar to win to nil19%fair 5.41
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win to nil43%fair 2.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.08
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-120.6%
0-019.4%
1-111.9%
1-011.3%
0-210.9%
1-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Welwalo Adigrat Uni / Welwalo Adigrat Uni26.8%
Draw / Draw26.2%
Draw / Welwalo Adigrat Uni18.8%
Bahardar / Bahardar10.3%
Draw / Bahardar9%
Questions about Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Bahardar or Welwalo Adigrat Uni: which side does the model back?
The model gives Welwalo Adigrat Uni the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 20.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 23% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The BTTS yes line is rated 29%. Bahardar find the net in 44% of simulated matches and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 65%.
What time does Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.