Ethiopia Premier League
Hadiya HosaenaHomeLDWL
1:0Half-time 0:0
Fasil KetemaAwayDDLD153550
Hadiya Hosaena winDrawFasil Ketema win
Hadiya HosaenaHomeLDWLFasil KetemaAwayDDLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.43 0.42 : 1.01
- Favourite
- 50% Fasil Ketema
- Over 2.5 goals
- 18% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 22% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
85%
Our prediction
Fasil Ketema or draw
1.18fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
78% chance1.28fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
42% chance2.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
24% chance4.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
30% chance3.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
48% chance2.11fair
Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema prediction
Our Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema prediction and pick
Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema prediction for the Ethiopia Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Fasil Ketema a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 35% and Hadiya Hosaena at 15%.
Hadiya Hosaena are expected to score 0.42 and Fasil Ketema 1.01, so the total line is 1.43 goals; over 2.5 lands at 18% and BTTS at 22%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fasil Ketema or draw at 85%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Hadiya Hosaena have won 1 of their last 4 with 3 scored and 4 conceded, Fasil Ketema 0 of 4 scoring 3 and conceding 4.
A low-scoring Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema reads 42% for over 1.5, 18% for over 2.5 and 6% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 83%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 83%.
BTTS yes stands at 22%. Hadiya Hosaena score in 34% of simulations against a 66% clean sheet for Fasil Ketema; Fasil Ketema score in 64% while Hadiya Hosaena shut them out 36% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 78%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema: 0-1 (24.2%), 0-0 (23.9%) and 0-2 (12.2%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 48%.
All markets, Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 15% / 35% / 50% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Hadiya Hosaena to win15%fair 6.62
Draw35%fair 2.85
Fasil Ketema to win50%fair 2.01
Hadiya Hosaena, draw no bet23%fair 4.29
Fasil Ketema, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
Double chance
Hadiya Hosaena or draw50%fair 1.99
Fasil Ketema or draw85%fair 1.18
Hadiya Hosaena or Fasil Ketema (no draw)65%fair 1.54
Goals
Over 0.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 goals42%fair 2.39
Over 2.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Over 3.5 goals6%fair 17.54
Over 4.5 goals2%fair 66.67
Under 1.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Under 2.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Under 3.5 goals94%fair 1.06
BTTS
Both teams to score22%fair 4.57
Not both teams to score78%fair 1.28
Halves
First-half goal48%fair 2.11
Over 1.5 first-half goals14%fair 7.35
Second-half goal55%fair 1.83
Team goals
Hadiya Hosaena to score34%fair 2.92
Fasil Ketema to score64%fair 1.57
Hadiya Hosaena clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Fasil Ketema clean sheet66%fair 1.52
Hadiya Hosaena to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Fasil Ketema to win to nil46%fair 2.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals47%fair 2.12
Even number of goals53%fair 1.89
Most likely scores
0-124.2%
0-023.9%
0-212.2%
1-110.2%
1-010.1%
1-25.1%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw29.5%
Fasil Ketema / Fasil Ketema28.2%
Draw / Fasil Ketema20.5%
Hadiya Hosaena / Hadiya Hosaena7.6%
Draw / Hadiya Hosaena7.2%
Questions about Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema
Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?
The model gives Fasil Ketema the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 35%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 24.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 18% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Hadiya Hosaena vs Fasil Ketema?
The BTTS yes line is rated 22%. Hadiya Hosaena find the net in 34% of simulated matches and Fasil Ketema in 64%.
When do Hadiya Hosaena play Fasil Ketema?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.