Ethiopia Premier League
Ethiopian MedhinHomeWDL
1:3Half-time 0:1
MekelakeyaAwayWLWWD273439
Ethiopian Medhin winDrawMekelakeya win
Ethiopian MedhinHomeWDLMekelakeyaAwayWLWWD- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.85 0.82 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 39% Mekelakeya
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.04 | 2.72 | 2.42 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.22 | 1.53 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mekelakeya to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Ethiopian Medhin price at 3.04, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.72 and 1xBet have Mekelakeya longest at 2.42.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.22 (1xBet) and no 1.53 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Mekelakeya or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.35
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya prediction
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya prediction, who wins and at what price
Ethiopian Medhin host Mekelakeya on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the Ethiopia Premier League, and the model has Mekelakeya at 39%, the draw at 34% and Ethiopian Medhin at 27%: that is the Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.82 for Ethiopian Medhin and 1.03 for Mekelakeya, a total of 1.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams to score at 39%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is mekelakeya or draw at 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 34% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Ethiopian Medhin have won 1 of their last 3 with 4 scored and 4 conceded, Mekelakeya 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 2.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya
Under 2.5 goals is rated 72% and under 3.5 88%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 55% and over 2.5 at 28%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; 1xBet pay 1.35.
Both teams to score is 39%: Ethiopian Medhin find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Mekelakeya in 64%. Ethiopian Medhin keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Mekelakeya 44%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya: 0-1 (16.2%), 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Ethiopian Medhin to win27%3.04
Draw34%2.72
Mekelakeya to win39%2.42
Ethiopian Medhin, draw no bet41%fair 2.42
Mekelakeya, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Double chance
Ethiopian Medhin or draw61%1.44
Mekelakeya or draw73%1.28
Ethiopian Medhin or Mekelakeya (no draw)66%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%2.74
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals72%1.35
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.22
Not both teams to score61%1.53
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56
Team goals
Ethiopian Medhin to score56%fair 1.79
Mekelakeya to score64%fair 1.56
Ethiopian Medhin clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Mekelakeya clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Ethiopian Medhin to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Mekelakeya to win to nil36%fair 2.82
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
0-116.2%
0-015.7%
1-113.3%
1-012.9%
0-28.3%
1-26.8%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.6%
Mekelakeya / Mekelakeya22.4%
Draw / Mekelakeya15.8%
Ethiopian Medhin / Ethiopian Medhin15.4%
Draw / Ethiopian Medhin11.9%
Questions about Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya
Ethiopian Medhin or Mekelakeya: which side does the model back?
The model gives Mekelakeya the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Ethiopian Medhin find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Mekelakeya in 64%.
When is Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya and where is the result shown?
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya starts at 12:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.