Ethiopia Premier League
Kedus GiorgisHomeDLDDW
2:2Half-time 0:1
Sheger KetemaAwayWDLDL363430
Kedus Giorgis winDrawSheger Ketema win
Kedus GiorgisHomeDLDDWSheger KetemaAwayWDLDL- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.67 0.88 : 0.79
- Favourite
- 36% Kedus Giorgis
- Over 2.5 goals
- 23% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 32% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.48 | 2.70 | 2.98 | 3.43 | 1.25 | 2.61 | 1.41 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kedus Giorgis to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema are 2.48 for Kedus Giorgis at 1xBet, 2.70 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.98 for Sheger Ketema at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 3.43 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.61 (1xBet) and no 1.41 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
69%
Our prediction
Kedus Giorgis or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
77% chance1.25
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
50% chance2.01fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
19% chance5.32fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
26% chance3.80fair
First halfFirst-half goal
53% chance1.89fair
Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema prediction
Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema prediction for Monday, 26 October 2026: 36% home, 34% draw and 31% away in the Ethiopia Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 1.67 in total, split 0.88 to Kedus Giorgis and 0.79 to Sheger Ketema. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 23% and both teams to score 32%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is kedus Giorgis or draw at 69%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches Kedus Giorgis stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Sheger Ketema show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 50%, over 2.5 at 23%, over 3.5 at 9%; under 2.5 is 77% and under 3.5 is 91%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 77%, best priced 1.25 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 32%, built from Kedus Giorgis scoring in 59% of runs and Sheger Ketema in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Kedus Giorgis and 42% for Sheger Ketema.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema: 0-0 (18.8%), 1-0 (16.6%) and 0-1 (14.9%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 53%.
All markets, Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema
The grid built from 0.88 and 0.79 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Kedus Giorgis to win36%2.48
Draw34%2.70
Sheger Ketema to win31%2.98
Kedus Giorgis, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Sheger Ketema, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Double chance
Kedus Giorgis or draw69%1.29
Sheger Ketema or draw64%1.42
Kedus Giorgis or Sheger Ketema (no draw)66%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 goals50%fair 2.01
Over 2.5 goals23%3.43
Over 3.5 goals9%fair 11.24
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 35.71
Under 1.5 goals50%fair 1.99
Under 2.5 goals77%1.25
Under 3.5 goals91%fair 1.10
BTTS
Both teams to score32%2.61
Not both teams to score68%1.41
Halves
First-half goal53%fair 1.89
Over 1.5 first-half goals17%fair 5.75
Second-half goal60%fair 1.66
Team goals
Kedus Giorgis to score59%fair 1.71
Sheger Ketema to score55%fair 1.83
Kedus Giorgis clean sheet45%fair 2.20
Sheger Ketema clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Kedus Giorgis to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Sheger Ketema to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-018.8%
1-016.6%
0-114.9%
1-113.1%
2-07.3%
0-25.9%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw26.3%
Kedus Giorgis / Kedus Giorgis19.5%
Sheger Ketema / Sheger Ketema16.4%
Draw / Kedus Giorgis14.8%
Draw / Sheger Ketema12.9%
Questions about Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema
Kedus Giorgis or Sheger Ketema: which side does the model back?
The model gives Kedus Giorgis the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 23%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. Kedus Giorgis find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Sheger Ketema in 55%.
What time does Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema kick off?
Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema starts at 12:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.