Ethiopia Premier League
Gamo ChenchaHomeLLDL
0:0Half-time 0:0
Ethiopia Nigd BankAwayWWDD112960
Gamo Chencha winDrawEthiopia Nigd Bank win
Gamo ChenchaHomeLLDLEthiopia Nigd BankAwayWWDD- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.68 0.38 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 60% Ethiopia Nigd Bank
- Over 2.5 goals
- 24% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 23% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
60%
Our prediction
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win
1.66fair
Double chanceEthiopia Nigd Bank or draw
89% chance1.12fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
77% chance1.30fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
50% chance2.00fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
24% chance4.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ethiopia Nigd Bank, full-time Ethiopia Nigd Bank
36% chance2.77fair
Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction
Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction, who wins and at what price
Ethiopia Nigd Bank are the clear favourite in the Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction, rated 60% to win this Ethiopia Premier League match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Gamo Chencha sit at 11% and the draw at 29%.
Gamo Chencha are expected to score 0.38 and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.30, so the total line is 1.68 goals; over 2.5 lands at 24% and BTTS at 23%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is ethiopia Nigd Bank to win at 60%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, ethiopia Nigd Bank or draw covers 89% of outcomes.
Form check: Gamo Chencha have won 0 of their last 4 with 1 scored and 5 conceded, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 of 4 scoring 3 and conceding 1.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 50%, over 2.5 at 24%, over 3.5 at 9%; under 2.5 is 76% and under 3.5 is 91%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 76%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 23%, built from Gamo Chencha scoring in 32% of runs and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Gamo Chencha and 68% for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 77%.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 24.2%, then 0-0 at 18.6% and 0-2 at 15.7%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Ethiopia Nigd Bank, full-time Ethiopia Nigd Bank is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 53%.
Every market rated for Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 11% / 29% / 60% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Gamo Chencha to win11%fair 9.35
Draw29%fair 3.44
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win60%fair 1.66
Gamo Chencha, draw no bet15%fair 6.62
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
Double chance
Gamo Chencha or draw40%fair 2.51
Ethiopia Nigd Bank or draw89%fair 1.12
Gamo Chencha or Ethiopia Nigd Bank (no draw)71%fair 1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 goals50%fair 2.00
Over 2.5 goals24%fair 4.22
Over 3.5 goals9%fair 11.11
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 35.71
Under 1.5 goals50%fair 2.00
Under 2.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Under 3.5 goals91%fair 1.10
BTTS
Both teams to score23%fair 4.37
Not both teams to score77%fair 1.30
Halves
First-half goal53%fair 1.89
Over 1.5 first-half goals18%fair 5.71
Second-half goal60%fair 1.66
Team goals
Gamo Chencha to score32%fair 3.16
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to score73%fair 1.38
Gamo Chencha clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Ethiopia Nigd Bank clean sheet68%fair 1.46
Gamo Chencha to win to nil10%fair 10.20
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win to nil55%fair 1.81
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-124.2%
0-018.6%
0-215.7%
1-19.2%
1-07.1%
0-36.8%
Half-time / full-time
Ethiopia Nigd Bank / Ethiopia Nigd Bank36.1%
Draw / Draw23.7%
Draw / Ethiopia Nigd Bank22.9%
Gamo Chencha / Gamo Chencha5.4%
Draw / Gamo Chencha5.1%
Questions about Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The model gives Ethiopia Nigd Bank the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 29%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 24.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 24%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The BTTS yes line is rated 23%. Gamo Chencha find the net in 32% of simulated matches and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in 73%.
When is Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank and where is the result shown?
Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank starts at 13:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.