Ethiopia Premier League
Mebrat HaylHomeLDWWL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Kedus GiorgisAwayDLDDW293437
Mebrat Hayl winDrawKedus Giorgis win
Mebrat HaylHomeLDWWLKedus GiorgisAwayDLDDW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.72 0.78 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 38% Kedus Giorgis
- Over 2.5 goals
- 25% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 33% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
71%
Our prediction
Kedus Giorgis or draw
1.41fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.50fairWon
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
51% chance1.95fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
18% chance5.59fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
26% chance3.92fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
54% chance1.86fairLost
Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis prediction
Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis prediction and best bet
Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis prediction for the Ethiopia Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Kedus Giorgis marginally ahead at 38%, with the draw at 34% and Mebrat Hayl at 29%.
Expected goals are 0.78 for Mebrat Hayl and 0.94 for Kedus Giorgis, a total of 1.72, which puts over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams to score at 33%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kedus Giorgis or draw is the main selection, rated 71%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Mebrat Hayl have won 2 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 2 conceded, Kedus Giorgis 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 6.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 51%, over 2.5 at 25%, over 3.5 at 10%; under 2.5 is 75% and under 3.5 is 90%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 75%.
Both teams to score is 33%: Mebrat Hayl find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Kedus Giorgis in 61%. Mebrat Hayl keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Kedus Giorgis 46%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis: 0-0 (17.9%), 0-1 (16.8%) and 1-0 (14%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 54%.
All markets, Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis
The grid built from 0.78 and 0.94 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Mebrat Hayl to win29%fair 3.46
Draw34%fair 2.98
Kedus Giorgis to win38%fair 2.67
Mebrat Hayl, draw no bet44%fair 2.30
Kedus Giorgis, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Double chance
Mebrat Hayl or draw63%fair 1.60
Kedus Giorgis or draw71%fair 1.41
Mebrat Hayl or Kedus Giorgis (no draw)66%fair 1.51
Goals
Over 0.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 2.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Over 3.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 32.26
Under 1.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Under 2.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Under 3.5 goals90%fair 1.11
BTTS
Both teams to score33%fair 3.01
Not both teams to score67%fair 1.50
Halves
First-half goal54%fair 1.86
Over 1.5 first-half goals18%fair 5.49
Second-half goal61%fair 1.63
Team goals
Mebrat Hayl to score54%fair 1.85
Kedus Giorgis to score61%fair 1.64
Mebrat Hayl clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Kedus Giorgis clean sheet46%fair 2.18
Mebrat Hayl to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Kedus Giorgis to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.94
Most likely scores
0-017.9%
0-116.8%
1-014%
1-113.1%
0-27.9%
1-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw25.5%
Kedus Giorgis / Kedus Giorgis21%
Mebrat Hayl / Mebrat Hayl15.5%
Draw / Kedus Giorgis15.5%
Draw / Mebrat Hayl12.3%
Questions about Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis
Mebrat Hayl or Kedus Giorgis: which side does the model back?
The model gives Kedus Giorgis the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 34%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis correct score: what does the model say?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 25% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis?
The BTTS yes line is rated 33%. Mebrat Hayl find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Kedus Giorgis in 61%.
What time does Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis kick off?
Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.