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Live 11 UTC
Ethiopia Premier League Round 5 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Welayta DichaHomeDDLWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Welwalo Adigrat UniAwayDLLL
383032
Welayta Dicha winDrawWelwalo Adigrat Uni win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.13
1.13 : 1.00
Favourite
38%
Welayta Dicha
Over 2.5 goals
36%
model chance
Both teams to score
43%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

70%

Our prediction

Welayta Dicha or Welwalo Adigrat Uni (no draw)
LeanWonExpected goals 1.13 : 1.00
1.42fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.75fairWon
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.46fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Welayta Dicha, full-time Welayta Dicha
22% chance4.52fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.62fairLost

Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction

Our Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction and pick

Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction for the Ethiopia Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model calls it close, Welayta Dicha 38%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 32%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.13 for Welayta Dicha and 1.00 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni, a total of 2.13, which puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 43%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is welayta Dicha or Welwalo Adigrat Uni (no draw) at 70%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Welayta Dicha have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 4 conceded, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 of 4 scoring 2 and conceding 11.

A low-scoring Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni reads 63% for over 1.5, 36% for over 2.5 and 17% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 64%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%.

Both teams to score is 43%: Welayta Dicha find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 63%. Welayta Dicha keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 32%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.4%, then 1-1 at 13.4% and 0-0 at 11.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Welayta Dicha, full-time Welayta Dicha is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.

Every market rated for Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Welayta Dicha to win38%fair 2.61
Draw30%fair 3.37
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win32%fair 3.13
Welayta Dicha, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, draw no bet46%fair 2.20

Double chance

Welayta Dicha or draw68%fair 1.47
Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw62%fair 1.62
Welayta Dicha or Welwalo Adigrat Uni (no draw)70%fair 1.42

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20

BTTS

Both teams to score43%fair 2.34
Not both teams to score57%fair 1.75

Halves

First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45

Team goals

Welayta Dicha to score68%fair 1.48
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to score63%fair 1.58
Welayta Dicha clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Welwalo Adigrat Uni clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Welayta Dicha to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win to nil29%fair 3.40

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-013.4%
1-113.4%
0-011.9%
0-111.9%
2-07.6%
2-17.6%

Half-time / full-time

Welayta Dicha / Welayta Dicha22.1%
Draw / Draw20.3%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni / Welwalo Adigrat Uni17.8%
Draw / Welayta Dicha14.8%
Draw / Welwalo Adigrat Uni12.6%

Questions about Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

The model gives Welayta Dicha the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.

Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Welayta Dicha find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 63%.

When do Welayta Dicha play Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Welayta Dicha v Welwalo Adigrat UniWelayta Dicha or Welwalo Adigrat Uni (no draw), 70%
1.42fair