CAF Confederation Cup
Al Ahli TripoliHomeWW
4:1Half-time 1:0
Welwalo Adigrat UniAwayDLLL622216
Al Ahli Tripoli winDrawWelwalo Adigrat Uni win
Al Ahli TripoliHomeWWWelwalo Adigrat UniAwayDLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.79 1.91 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 62% Al Ahli Tripoli
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
62%
Our prediction
Al Ahli Tripoli to win
1.63fair
Double chanceAl Ahli Tripoli or draw
83% chance1.20fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.89fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance2.00fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Ahli Tripoli, full-time Al Ahli Tripoli
40% chance2.53fair
Al Ahli Tripoli v Welwalo Adigrat Uni head to head
1Al Ahli Tripoli wins
0Draws
0Welwalo Adigrat Uni wins
- 16 Oct 26Welwalo Adigrat Uni0:4Al Ahli Tripoli
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Al Ahli Tripoli scored 4, Welwalo Adigrat Uni scored 0.
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction, who wins and at what price
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni prediction for the CAF Confederation Cup on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Al Ahli Tripoli the clear favourite at 62%, with the draw at 22% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni at 17%.
Al Ahli Tripoli are expected to score 1.91 and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.88, so the total line is 2.79 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is al Ahli Tripoli to win at 62%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, al Ahli Tripoli or draw covers 83% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
How many goals in Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Al Ahli Tripoli scoring in 85% of runs and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 59%; clean sheets come at 42% for Al Ahli Tripoli and 15% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-0 (11.7%), 2-0 (11.2%) and 1-1 (10.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Ahli Tripoli, full-time Al Ahli Tripoli is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al Ahli Tripoli to win62%fair 1.63
Draw22%fair 4.61
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win17%fair 5.95
Al Ahli Tripoli, draw no bet79%fair 1.27
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, draw no bet22%fair 4.65
Double chance
Al Ahli Tripoli or draw83%fair 1.20
Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw39%fair 2.60
Al Ahli Tripoli or Welwalo Adigrat Uni (no draw)78%fair 1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%fair 1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44
BTTS
Both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Al Ahli Tripoli to score85%fair 1.17
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to score59%fair 1.71
Al Ahli Tripoli clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Welwalo Adigrat Uni clean sheet15%fair 6.76
Al Ahli Tripoli to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win to nil14%fair 7.35
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011.7%
2-011.2%
1-110.3%
2-19.9%
3-07.1%
3-16.3%
Half-time / full-time
Al Ahli Tripoli / Al Ahli Tripoli39.5%
Draw / Al Ahli Tripoli19.2%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni / Welwalo Adigrat Uni9.1%
Draw / Welwalo Adigrat Uni6.6%
Questions about Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Al Ahli Tripoli or Welwalo Adigrat Uni: which side does the model back?
The model gives Al Ahli Tripoli the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Al Ahli Tripoli find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 59%.
What time does Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni kick off?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.