Ethiopia Premier League
Welayta DichaHomeDDLWW
1:3Half-time 0:1
BahardarAwayWLWD323632
Welayta Dicha winDrawBahardar win
Welayta DichaHomeDDLWWBahardarAwayWLWD- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.75 0.87 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 32% Bahardar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 25% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.63 | 2.57 | 2.84 | 3.14 | 1.27 | 2.44 | 1.47 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bahardar to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Welayta Dicha price at 2.63, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.57 and 1xBet have Bahardar longest at 2.84.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 3.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.44 (1xBet) and no 1.47 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
Bahardar or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
75% chance1.27
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
52% chance1.92fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
17% chance5.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
25% chance3.98fair
First halfFirst-half goal
55% chance1.83fair
Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar prediction
Our Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar prediction for Thursday, 22 October 2026: 32% home, 36% draw and 32% away in the Ethiopia Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 0.87 for Welayta Dicha and 0.88 for Bahardar, a total of 1.75, which puts over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams to score at 36%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Bahardar or draw is the main selection, rated 68%. At 1.35 with 1xBet the market prices it at 74%, against 68% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar.
The draw is live at 36%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Welayta Dicha average 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Bahardar 1.5 and 1.0 across 4.
A low-scoring Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 75% and under 3.5 90%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 52% and over 2.5 at 25%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.27 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 36%, built from Welayta Dicha scoring in 58% of runs and Bahardar in 59%; clean sheets come at 42% for Welayta Dicha and 42% for Bahardar.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 0-0 leads at 17.4%, then 0-1 at 15.3% and 1-0 at 15.1%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 55%.
Every market rated for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win32%2.63
Draw36%2.57
Bahardar to win32%2.84
Welayta Dicha, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
Bahardar, draw no bet51%fair 1.98
Double chance
Welayta Dicha or draw68%1.30
Bahardar or draw68%1.35
Welayta Dicha or Bahardar (no draw)64%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 goals52%fair 1.92
Over 2.5 goals25%3.14
Over 3.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 30.30
Under 1.5 goals48%fair 2.09
Under 2.5 goals75%1.27
Under 3.5 goals90%fair 1.11
BTTS
Both teams to score36%2.44
Not both teams to score64%1.47
Halves
First-half goal55%fair 1.83
Over 1.5 first-half goals19%fair 5.35
Second-half goal62%fair 1.62
Team goals
Welayta Dicha to score58%fair 1.72
Bahardar to score59%fair 1.71
Welayta Dicha clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Bahardar clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Welayta Dicha to win to nil29%fair 3.42
Bahardar to win to nil30%fair 3.36
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.06
Even number of goals52%fair 1.94
Most likely scores
0-017.4%
0-115.3%
1-015.1%
1-113.3%
0-26.7%
2-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw25.1%
Bahardar / Bahardar18.5%
Welayta Dicha / Welayta Dicha18.1%
Draw / Bahardar13.9%
Draw / Welayta Dicha13.8%
Questions about Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar
Welayta Dicha or Bahardar: which side does the model back?
The model gives Bahardar the best chance at 32%, with the draw at 36%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 25% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Welayta Dicha find the net in 58% of simulated matches and Bahardar in 59%.
When do Welayta Dicha play Bahardar?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.