Everton vs Chelsea prediction

Everton vs Chelsea prediction and best bet

Everton host Chelsea on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Premier League, and the model has Chelsea at 41%, the draw at 27% and Everton at 32%: that is the Everton vs Chelsea prediction in one line.

Everton are expected to score 1.43 and Chelsea 1.62, so the total line is 3.05 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Everton vs Chelsea is everton or Chelsea (no draw), a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Everton stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Chelsea show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Everton vs Chelsea

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.68 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Everton scoring in 76% of runs and Chelsea in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Everton and 24% for Chelsea.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.8%).

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Everton vs Chelsea; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Chelsea, full-time Chelsea is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.