Brentford vs Liverpool prediction

Our Brentford vs Liverpool prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Brentford vs Liverpool prediction for Saturday, 17 October 2026: 35% home, 26% draw and 39% away in the Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Brentford are expected to score 1.55 and Liverpool 1.65, so the total line is 3.20 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 65%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is brentford or Liverpool (no draw) at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Brentford stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Liverpool show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Brentford vs Liverpool over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.58 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 65%: Brentford find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Liverpool in 81%. Brentford keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Liverpool 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%, followed by 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Liverpool, full-time Liverpool leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.