Championship
Round 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
BoltonHomeLWDLL
2:3Half-time 1:1
Bristol CityAwayDLLDW332740
Bolton winDrawBristol City win
Championship
Round 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
BoltonHomeLWDLLBristol CityAwayDLLDW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 1.31 : 1.46
- Favourite
- 40% Bristol City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Bolton vs Bristol City
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.94 | 3.42 | 2.38 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.84 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.74 | 1.99 | 1.62 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.94 | 3.42 | 2.38 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.94 | 3.42 | 2.38 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.31 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bristol City to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Bolton vs Bristol City are 2.94 for Bolton at 1xBet, 3.50 for the draw at Stake and 2.38 for Bristol City at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.84 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.08 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Melbet) and no 2.25 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Bolton or Bristol City (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bristol City, full-time Bristol City
24% chance4.12fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair
Bolton vs Bristol City prediction
Our Bolton vs Bristol City prediction and pick
Bolton vs Bristol City prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, Bolton 33%, draw 27%, Bristol City 40%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.31 for Bolton and 1.46 for Bristol City, a total of 2.77, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Bolton or Bristol City (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.31 with Betwinner the market prices it at 76%, against 73% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Bolton stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Bristol City show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Bolton vs Bristol City
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; Melbet pay 1.84.
BTTS yes stands at 58%. Bolton score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Bristol City; Bristol City score in 77% while Bolton shut them out 23% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12%, then 0-1 at 9.1% and 1-2 at 8.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bristol City, full-time Bristol City is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Bolton vs Bristol City
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Bolton vs Bristol City, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Bolton to win33%2.94
Draw27%3.50
Bristol City to win40%2.38
Bolton, draw no bet45%fair 2.21
Bristol City, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Double chance
Bolton or draw60%1.60
Bristol City or draw67%1.40
Bolton or Bristol City (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.84
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%2.08
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.65
Not both teams to score42%2.25
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Bolton to score73%fair 1.37
Bristol City to score77%fair 1.30
Bolton clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Bristol City clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Bolton to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Bristol City to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112%
0-19.1%
1-28.7%
1-08.2%
2-17.9%
0-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Bristol City / Bristol City24.3%
Bolton / Bolton19.7%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Bristol City14%
Draw / Bolton12.1%
Questions about Bolton vs Bristol City
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
The model gives Bristol City the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Bolton vs Bristol City?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Bolton vs Bristol City both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Bolton find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Bristol City in 77%.
When do Bolton play Bristol City?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.