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Live 31 UTC
Championship Round 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
MiddlesbroughHomeWWDWW
3:0Half-time 2:0
CharltonAwayDDLLL
761410
Middlesbrough winDrawCharlton win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.56
2.73 : 0.83
Favourite
76%
Middlesbrough
Over 2.5 goals
69%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Middlesbrough vs Charlton

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.236.2010.501.332.811.751.97Bet
22Bet1.197.3012.501.393.001.981.83Bet
BC.Game1.196.4012.001.372.881.931.78Bet
Betwinner1.197.3012.501.393.001.981.83Bet
Melbet1.197.3012.501.393.001.981.83Bet
Stake1.177.6013.001.353.051.921.79Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Middlesbrough to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Middlesbrough price at 1.23, Stake lead the draw at 7.60 and Stake have Charlton longest at 13.00.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (Melbet) and under 2.5 3.05 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.98 (Melbet) and no 1.97 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

Middlesbrough to win
BankerExpected goals 2.73 : 0.83-6.2% against the best price
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw
91% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.39
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.98
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Middlesbrough, full-time Middlesbrough
54% chance1.84fair

Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction

Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction, who wins and at what price

The Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction leans to Middlesbrough: 76% against 9% for Charlton, with 14% left for the draw, in the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

Middlesbrough are expected to score 2.73 and Charlton 0.83, so the total line is 3.56 goals; over 2.5 lands at 69% and BTTS at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is middlesbrough to win at 76%. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 76% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Middlesbrough vs Charlton.

For a safer line, middlesbrough or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.03.

With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Middlesbrough stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Charlton show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Middlesbrough vs Charlton with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Middlesbrough vs Charlton reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.39 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Middlesbrough scoring in 94% of runs and Charlton in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Middlesbrough and 7% for Charlton.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Middlesbrough vs Charlton: 2-0 (10.6%), 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Middlesbrough, full-time Middlesbrough is the top combination at 54%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.

Every market for Middlesbrough vs Charlton

The grid built from 2.73 and 0.83 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Middlesbrough to win76%1.23
Draw14%7.60
Charlton to win9%13.00
Middlesbrough, draw no bet89%fair 1.12
Charlton, draw no bet11%fair 9.26

Double chance

Middlesbrough or draw91%1.03
Charlton or draw24%4.80
Middlesbrough or Charlton (no draw)86%1.10

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.39
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.51
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 2.5 goals31%3.05
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.91

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.98
Not both teams to score48%1.97

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

Middlesbrough to score94%fair 1.07
Charlton to score56%fair 1.77
Middlesbrough clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Charlton clean sheet7%fair 15.38
Middlesbrough to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Charlton to win to nil6%fair 16.67

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.6%
3-09.6%
2-18.8%
3-18%
1-07.8%
4-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Middlesbrough / Middlesbrough54.4%
Draw / Middlesbrough19.3%
Draw / Draw7.8%
Charlton / Charlton4.7%
Charlton / Middlesbrough3.4%

Questions about Middlesbrough vs Charlton

Middlesbrough or Charlton: which side does the model back?

The model gives Middlesbrough the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Middlesbrough find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Charlton in 56%.

When is Middlesbrough vs Charlton and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Middlesbrough v CharltonMiddlesbrough to win, 76%
1.23Bet