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CharltonAwayDDLLL
MiddlesbroughHomeWWDWW
CharltonAwayDDLLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 6.20 | 10.50 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.75 | 1.97 | Bet | |
| 1.19 | 7.30 | 12.50 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.83 | Bet | |
| 1.19 | 6.40 | 12.00 | 1.37 | 2.88 | 1.93 | 1.78 | Bet | |
| 1.19 | 7.30 | 12.50 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.83 | Bet | |
| 1.19 | 7.30 | 12.50 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.98 | 1.83 | Bet | |
| 1.17 | 7.60 | 13.00 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 1.92 | 1.79 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Middlesbrough price at 1.23, Stake lead the draw at 7.60 and Stake have Charlton longest at 13.00.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (Melbet) and under 2.5 3.05 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.98 (Melbet) and no 1.97 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
The Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction leans to Middlesbrough: 76% against 9% for Charlton, with 14% left for the draw, in the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
Middlesbrough are expected to score 2.73 and Charlton 0.83, so the total line is 3.56 goals; over 2.5 lands at 69% and BTTS at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is middlesbrough to win at 76%. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 76% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Middlesbrough vs Charlton.
For a safer line, middlesbrough or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.03.
With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Middlesbrough stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Charlton show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
On the goal lines Middlesbrough vs Charlton reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.39 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Middlesbrough scoring in 94% of runs and Charlton in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Middlesbrough and 7% for Charlton.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Middlesbrough vs Charlton: 2-0 (10.6%), 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Middlesbrough, full-time Middlesbrough is the top combination at 54%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
The grid built from 2.73 and 0.83 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Middlesbrough the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 14%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Middlesbrough find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Charlton in 56%.
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.