Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction and best bet

Mirassol are marginally ahead in the Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction, rated 42% to win this Série A match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Sao Paulo sit at 30% and the draw at 29%.

Expected goals are 1.38 for Mirassol and 1.13 for Sao Paulo, a total of 2.51, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Mirassol vs Sao Paulo is mirassol or Sao Paulo (no draw), a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Over the last 5 matches Mirassol stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sao Paulo show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Mirassol vs Sao Paulo

Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Mirassol scoring in 75% of runs and Sao Paulo in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Mirassol and 25% for Sao Paulo.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 11.2% and 0-1 at 9.2%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Mirassol, full-time Mirassol is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.