Série A
Round 32 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
Vasco DA GamaHomeLLWLL
3:2Half-time 1:0
CorinthiansAwayLLDLW582418
Vasco DA Gama winDrawCorinthians win
Série A
Round 32 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
Vasco DA GamaHomeLLWLLCorinthiansAwayLLDLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.60 1.73 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 58% Vasco DA Gama
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.82 | 5.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Vasco DA Gama to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Vasco DA Gama price at 1.71, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.82 and 1xBet have Corinthians longest at 5.10.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.00 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.85 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (1xBet) and no 1.83 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
58%
Our prediction
Vasco DA Gama to win
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw
82% chance1.18
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.85
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Vasco DA Gama, full-time Vasco DA Gama
36% chance2.76fair
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction, who wins and at what price
Vasco DA Gama are a narrow favourite in the Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction, rated 58% to win this Série A match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Corinthians sit at 18% and the draw at 24%.
The goal expectancy is 2.60 in total, split 1.73 to Vasco DA Gama and 0.87 to Corinthians. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 49%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is vasco DA Gama to win at 58%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.71. That price implies 58%, 1 points over the model figure.
Vasco DA Gama or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.18.
Form check: Vasco DA Gama have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 11 conceded, Corinthians 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 10.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians
Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.85.
Both teams to score is 49%: Vasco DA Gama find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Corinthians in 58%. Vasco DA Gama keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Corinthians 18%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians: 1-0 (12.8%), 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (11.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Vasco DA Gama, full-time Vasco DA Gama is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
All markets, Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 58% / 24% / 18% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Vasco DA Gama to win58%1.71
Draw24%3.82
Corinthians to win18%5.10
Vasco DA Gama, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Corinthians, draw no bet24%fair 4.17
Double chance
Vasco DA Gama or draw82%1.18
Corinthians or draw42%2.18
Vasco DA Gama or Corinthians (no draw)76%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.00
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%1.85
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score51%1.83
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Vasco DA Gama to score82%fair 1.22
Corinthians to score58%fair 1.72
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Corinthians clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Vasco DA Gama to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Corinthians to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.8%
1-111.2%
2-011.1%
2-19.7%
0-07.4%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
Vasco DA Gama / Vasco DA Gama36.2%
Draw / Vasco DA Gama18.9%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Corinthians / Corinthians10.2%
Draw / Corinthians7.4%
Questions about Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians
Who is favourite in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
The model gives Vasco DA Gama the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Vasco DA Gama find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Corinthians in 58%.
When do Vasco DA Gama play Corinthians?
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians starts at 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.