Girabola predictions for every fixture

Girabola predictions for the coming round

Girabola predictions cover 11 of the next 11 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 47% chance, the draw 30%, over 2.5 goals 30% and BTTS 35%.

Expected goals average 1.92 a match, so the goal lines open below 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 8 of the 11 rated fixtures. 2 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Girabola pick of the round is bravos do Maquis FC or draw in Bravos do Maquis FC v Interclube on Sat 7 Nov, rated 80%.

No Girabola pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Girabola odds table.

Girabola results and trends, last 60 days

The last 50 Girabola matches of the past 60 days produced 23 home wins, 17 draws and 10 away wins. That is a home win rate of 46% and a draw rate of 34%.

Goals averaged 1.90 a match, 1.18 for the home side and 0.72 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 34% of matches and over 1.5 in 58%. Both teams scored in 44%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 56%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was 1º de Agosto 3-2 FC Luanda on Sat 19 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 30% for the coming round against a 34% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Girabola tips have gone

32 Girabola tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 19 won and 13 lost, a hit rate of 59%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is +19.9%.

The best-performing market for the competition appears here once any single market reaches five settled tips. Until then the figures above cover every market together and move quickly from round to round.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 8 further Girabola tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Girabola odds comparison

No Girabola fixture in the coming round is priced yet. Prices usually arrive two to three days before kick-off for a top division and the evening before for cups and lower divisions.

Until then the match pages show the fair price from the model, labelled as such. The edge column stays blank because there is no bookmaker line to measure it against.

Once prices land, each Girabola match page lists every bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score lines with the best in each column marked. Taking the best price on each outcome typically pays two to four points more than a single bookmaker's full line, and partner bookmakers carry a Bet button.