Girabola
Académica do LobitoHomeLDDDL
1:1Half-time 0:0
FC LuandaAwayLLLDL313237
Académica do Lobito winDrawFC Luanda win
Académica do LobitoHomeLDDDLFC LuandaAwayLLLDL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.89 0.90 : 0.99
- Favourite
- 37% FC Luanda
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 37% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
69%
Our prediction
FC Luanda or draw
1.46fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
63% chance1.59fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.78fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
15% chance6.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.75fair
Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda prediction
Our Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda prediction and pick
Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda prediction for the Girabola on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Académica do Lobito 31%, draw 32%, FC Luanda 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 1.89 in total, split 0.90 to Académica do Lobito and 0.99 to FC Luanda. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 29% and both teams to score 37%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
FC Luanda or draw is the main selection, rated 69%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches Académica do Lobito stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; FC Luanda show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda reads 56% for over 1.5, 29% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 71%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 71%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 37%, built from Académica do Lobito scoring in 59% of runs and FC Luanda in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Académica do Lobito and 41% for FC Luanda.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 15.1%, followed by 0-1 (15%) and 1-0 (13.6%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 32% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Académica do Lobito to win31%fair 3.18
Draw32%fair 3.13
FC Luanda to win37%fair 2.72
Académica do Lobito, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
FC Luanda, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Double chance
Académica do Lobito or draw63%fair 1.58
FC Luanda or draw69%fair 1.46
Académica do Lobito or FC Luanda (no draw)68%fair 1.47
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.78
Over 2.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 23.26
Under 1.5 goals44%fair 2.29
Under 2.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score37%fair 2.68
Not both teams to score63%fair 1.59
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.75
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.78
Second-half goal65%fair 1.55
Team goals
Académica do Lobito to score59%fair 1.69
FC Luanda to score63%fair 1.59
Académica do Lobito clean sheet37%fair 2.69
FC Luanda clean sheet41%fair 2.46
Académica do Lobito to win to nil29%fair 3.46
FC Luanda to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-015.1%
0-115%
1-013.6%
1-113.5%
0-27.4%
1-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.1%
FC Luanda / FC Luanda20.5%
Académica do Lobito / Académica do Lobito17.5%
Draw / FC Luanda14.7%
Draw / Académica do Lobito13%
Questions about Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda
Who is favourite in Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda?
The model gives FC Luanda the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda correct score: what does the model say?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 29% backs the same picture with less variance.
Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 37%. Académica do Lobito find the net in 59% of simulated matches and FC Luanda in 63%.
When is Académica do Lobito vs FC Luanda and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.