Girabola
1º de AgostoHomeDWWLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
Petro de LuandaAwayWLWDD363232
1º de Agosto winDrawPetro de Luanda win
1º de AgostoHomeDWWLDPetro de LuandaAwayWLWDD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.96 1.02 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 36% 1º de Agosto
- Over 2.5 goals
- 31% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.62 | 1.38 | 2.16 | 1.59 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.73 | 1.40 | 2.47 | 1.48 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.74 | 2.70 | 2.74 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.58 | 2.78 | 2.99 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.47 | 1.48 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.58 | 2.78 | 2.99 | 2.73 | 1.40 | 2.47 | 1.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1º de Agosto to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best 1º de Agosto price at 2.78, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.80 and Melbet have Petro de Luanda longest at 2.99.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.73 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.40 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.47 (22Bet) and no 1.59 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
1º de Agosto or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.40
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.72fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
22% chance4.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.71fair
1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda prediction
1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda prediction, who wins and at what price
1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda prediction for the Girabola on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, 1º de Agosto 36%, draw 32%, Petro de Luanda 32%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.02 for 1º de Agosto and 0.94 for Petro de Luanda, a total of 1.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 40%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
1º de Agosto or draw is the main selection, rated 68%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.39. That price implies 72%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches 1º de Agosto stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Petro de Luanda show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 31%, over 3.5 at 14%; under 2.5 is 69% and under 3.5 is 86%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.40 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from 1º de Agosto scoring in 64% of runs and Petro de Luanda in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for 1º de Agosto and 36% for Petro de Luanda.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.4%, followed by 0-0 (14.1%) and 1-1 (13.5%).
With the top scoreline at 14.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 32% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
1º de Agosto to win36%2.78
Draw32%2.80
Petro de Luanda to win32%2.99
1º de Agosto, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Petro de Luanda, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Double chance
1º de Agosto or draw68%1.39
Petro de Luanda or draw64%1.44
1º de Agosto or Petro de Luanda (no draw)68%1.39
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Over 2.5 goals31%2.73
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 20.41
Under 1.5 goals42%fair 2.40
Under 2.5 goals69%1.40
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.16
BTTS
Both teams to score40%2.47
Not both teams to score60%1.59
Halves
First-half goal59%fair 1.71
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.52
Second-half goal66%fair 1.52
Team goals
1º de Agosto to score64%fair 1.56
Petro de Luanda to score61%fair 1.64
1º de Agosto clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Petro de Luanda clean sheet36%fair 2.77
1º de Agosto to win to nil33%fair 3.02
Petro de Luanda to win to nil29%fair 3.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-014.4%
0-014.1%
1-113.5%
0-113.2%
2-07.3%
2-16.9%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.2%
1º de Agosto / 1º de Agosto20.6%
Petro de Luanda / Petro de Luanda17.9%
Draw / 1º de Agosto14.5%
Draw / Petro de Luanda13.1%
Questions about 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda
Who will win 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda?
The model gives 1º de Agosto the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for 1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.
1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. 1º de Agosto find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Petro de Luanda in 61%.
When do 1º de Agosto play Petro de Luanda?
1º de Agosto vs Petro de Luanda starts at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.