Girabola
Recreativo do LiboloHomeLWLLW
3:1Half-time 2:1
Sagrada EsperançaAwayWDDWL322939
Recreativo do Libolo winDrawSagrada Esperança win
Recreativo do LiboloHomeLWLLWSagrada EsperançaAwayWDDWL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.29 1.07 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 39% Sagrada Esperança
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BC.Game | 2.76 | 2.90 | 2.56 | 2.30 | 1.56 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.69 | 2.87 | 2.77 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.69 | 2.87 | 2.77 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.75 | 2.95 | 2.39 | 2.18 | 1.51 | 1.93 | 1.72 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sagrada Esperança to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança prediction: Recreativo do Libolo 2.76 (BC.Game), draw 2.95 (Stake), Sagrada Esperança 2.77 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.30 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.57 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.09 (Melbet) and no 1.72 (Stake).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Recreativo do Libolo or Sagrada Esperança (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.57
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sagrada Esperança, full-time Sagrada Esperança
23% chance4.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança prediction
Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança prediction, who wins and at what price
Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança prediction for the Girabola on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, Recreativo do Libolo 32%, draw 29%, Sagrada Esperança 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.07 for Recreativo do Libolo and 1.22 for Sagrada Esperança, a total of 2.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is recreativo do Libolo or Sagrada Esperança (no draw) at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at Betwinner, which implies 74%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança.
Form check: Recreativo do Libolo have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 10 conceded, Sagrada Esperança 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança
Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; Melbet pay 1.57.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Recreativo do Libolo scoring in 66% of runs and Sagrada Esperança in 71%; clean sheets come at 30% for Recreativo do Libolo and 34% for Sagrada Esperança.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.2%, then 0-1 at 12.4% and 1-0 at 10.8%.
With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sagrada Esperança, full-time Sagrada Esperança leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança
The grid built from 1.07 and 1.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Recreativo do Libolo to win32%2.76
Draw29%2.95
Sagrada Esperança to win39%2.77
Recreativo do Libolo, draw no bet45%fair 2.23
Sagrada Esperança, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Double chance
Recreativo do Libolo or draw61%1.42
Sagrada Esperança or draw68%1.41
Recreativo do Libolo or Sagrada Esperança (no draw)71%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.30
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%1.57
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score48%2.09
Not both teams to score52%1.72
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Recreativo do Libolo to score66%fair 1.52
Sagrada Esperança to score71%fair 1.42
Recreativo do Libolo clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Sagrada Esperança clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Recreativo do Libolo to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Sagrada Esperança to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
0-112.4%
1-010.8%
0-010.1%
1-28.1%
0-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Sagrada Esperança / Sagrada Esperança22.9%
Draw / Draw18.6%
Recreativo do Libolo / Recreativo do Libolo18.1%
Draw / Sagrada Esperança14.7%
Draw / Recreativo do Libolo12.4%
Questions about Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança
Recreativo do Libolo or Sagrada Esperança: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sagrada Esperança the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Recreativo do Libolo find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Sagrada Esperança in 71%.
When is Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança and where is the result shown?
Recreativo do Libolo vs Sagrada Esperança starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.