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Live 12 UTC
Girabola Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
São SalvadorHomeDDWLW
1:0Half-time 1:0
CD Lunda-SulAwayLDDWL
363430
São Salvador winDrawCD Lunda-Sul win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
1.65
0.88 : 0.77
Favourite
36%
São Salvador
Over 2.5 goals
23%
model chance
Both teams to score
32%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Best odds for São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.482.702.983.431.252.611.41Bet
Betwinner2.482.702.983.431.252.611.41Bet
Melbet2.482.702.983.431.252.611.41Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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São Salvador to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul are 2.48 for São Salvador at 22Bet, 2.70 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.98 for CD Lunda-Sul at 22Bet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 3.43 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.25 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.61 (22Bet) and no 1.41 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

70%

Our prediction

São Salvador or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 0.88 : 0.77-9.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
77% chance1.25
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.41Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
49% chance2.04fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
19% chance5.21fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
27% chance3.75fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
52% chance1.91fairWon

São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul prediction

São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul prediction, who wins and at what price

São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul prediction for the Girabola on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model calls it close, São Salvador 36%, draw 34%, CD Lunda-Sul 30%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 1.65 in total, split 0.88 to São Salvador and 0.77 to CD Lunda-Sul. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 23% and both teams to score 32%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul is são Salvador or draw, a 70% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 8 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 5 matches São Salvador stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; CD Lunda-Sul show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 49%, over 2.5 at 23%, over 3.5 at 9%; under 2.5 is 77% and under 3.5 is 91%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 77%, best priced 1.25 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 32%, built from São Salvador scoring in 59% of runs and CD Lunda-Sul in 54%; clean sheets come at 46% for São Salvador and 42% for CD Lunda-Sul.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 19.2%, followed by 1-0 (16.9%) and 0-1 (14.8%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 52%.

Every market for São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 34% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

São Salvador to win36%2.48
Draw34%2.70
CD Lunda-Sul to win30%2.98
São Salvador, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
CD Lunda-Sul, draw no bet45%fair 2.21

Double chance

São Salvador or draw70%1.29
CD Lunda-Sul or draw64%1.42
São Salvador or CD Lunda-Sul (no draw)66%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 2.5 goals23%3.43
Over 3.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 37.04
Under 1.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Under 2.5 goals77%1.25
Under 3.5 goals91%fair 1.09

BTTS

Both teams to score32%2.61
Not both teams to score68%1.41

Halves

First-half goal52%fair 1.91
Over 1.5 first-half goals17%fair 5.85
Second-half goal60%fair 1.68

Team goals

São Salvador to score59%fair 1.71
CD Lunda-Sul to score54%fair 1.86
São Salvador clean sheet46%fair 2.16
CD Lunda-Sul clean sheet42%fair 2.41
São Salvador to win to nil33%fair 3.00
CD Lunda-Sul to win to nil28%fair 3.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93

Most likely scores

0-019.2%
1-016.9%
0-114.8%
1-113%
2-07.4%
2-15.7%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw26.7%
São Salvador / São Salvador19.7%
CD Lunda-Sul / CD Lunda-Sul16%
Draw / São Salvador15%
Draw / CD Lunda-Sul12.7%

Questions about São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul

Who will win São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul?

The model gives São Salvador the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul correct score: what does the model say?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 19.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 23%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul?

The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. São Salvador find the net in 59% of simulated matches and CD Lunda-Sul in 54%.

What time does São Salvador vs CD Lunda-Sul kick off?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, São Salvador v CD Lunda-SulSão Salvador or draw, 70%
1.29Bet