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Live 16 UTC
Girabola Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
1º de MaioHomeWDLLW
2:1Half-time 1:0
FC LuandaAwayLLLDL
512920
1º de Maio winDrawFC Luanda win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.05
1.33 : 0.72
Favourite
51%
1º de Maio
Over 2.5 goals
33%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

1º de Maio vs FC Luanda betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.883.084.452.581.452.611.43Bet
BC.Game1.853.054.302.641.44--Bet
Betwinner1.883.084.452.581.452.611.43Bet
Melbet1.883.084.452.581.452.611.43Bet
Stake1.813.054.202.601.402.381.52Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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1º de Maio to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda are 1.88 for 1º de Maio at 22Bet, 3.08 for the draw at 22Bet and 4.45 for FC Luanda at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.64 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.45 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.61 (22Bet) and no 1.52 (Stake).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

51%

Our prediction

1º de Maio to win
LeanWonExpected goals 1.33 : 0.72-3.6% against the best price
Double chance1º de Maio or draw
80% chance1.17Won
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.45
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.52Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.65fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.85fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time 1º de Maio, full-time 1º de Maio
31% chance3.27fairWon

1º de Maio vs FC Luanda prediction

1º de Maio vs FC Luanda prediction, who wins and at what price

1º de Maio are a narrow favourite in the 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda prediction, rated 51% to win this Girabola match on Sunday, 1 November 2026. FC Luanda sit at 20% and the draw at 29%.

The goal expectancy is 2.05 in total, split 1.33 to 1º de Maio and 0.72 to FC Luanda. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 33% and both teams to score 39%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is 1º de Maio to win at 51%. The best price in our comparison is 1.88 at 22Bet, which implies 53%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, 1º de Maio or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.17.

Over the last 5 matches 1º de Maio stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; FC Luanda show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 67% and under 3.5 85%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 61% and over 2.5 at 33%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 22Bet pay 1.45.

BTTS yes stands at 39%. 1º de Maio score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for FC Luanda; FC Luanda score in 51% while 1º de Maio shut them out 49% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 17.1%, then 0-0 at 12.9% and 1-1 at 12.3%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time 1º de Maio, full-time 1º de Maio leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda

The grid built from 1.33 and 0.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

1º de Maio to win51%1.88
Draw29%3.08
FC Luanda to win20%4.45
1º de Maio, draw no bet72%fair 1.38
FC Luanda, draw no bet28%fair 3.62

Double chance

1º de Maio or draw80%1.17
FC Luanda or draw49%1.82
1º de Maio or FC Luanda (no draw)71%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%2.64
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.54
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Under 2.5 goals67%1.45
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18

BTTS

Both teams to score39%2.61
Not both teams to score61%1.52

Halves

First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.24
Second-half goal68%fair 1.48

Team goals

1º de Maio to score74%fair 1.36
FC Luanda to score51%fair 1.95
1º de Maio clean sheet49%fair 2.05
FC Luanda clean sheet26%fair 3.79
1º de Maio to win to nil45%fair 2.23
FC Luanda to win to nil18%fair 5.56

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

1-017.1%
0-012.9%
1-112.3%
2-011.4%
0-19.3%
2-18.2%

Half-time / full-time

1º de Maio / 1º de Maio30.6%
Draw / Draw20.3%
Draw / 1º de Maio18.9%
FC Luanda / FC Luanda10.8%
Draw / FC Luanda8.6%

Questions about 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda

1º de Maio or FC Luanda: which side does the model back?

The model gives 1º de Maio the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 29%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 33%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. 1º de Maio find the net in 74% of simulated matches and FC Luanda in 51%.

What time does 1º de Maio vs FC Luanda kick off?

Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, 1º de Maio v FC Luanda1º de Maio to win, 51%
1.88Bet