Girabola
Recreativo da CaálaHomeLDDWD
1:0Half-time 1:0
1º de AgostoAwayDWWLD322939
Recreativo da Caála winDraw1º de Agosto win
Recreativo da CaálaHomeLDDWD1º de AgostoAwayDWWLD- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.20 1.04 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 39% 1º de Agosto
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
71%
Our prediction
Recreativo da Caála or 1º de Agosto (no draw)
1.41fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.79fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
65% chance1.55fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.46fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time 1º de Agosto, full-time 1º de Agosto
22% chance4.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.59fair
Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto prediction
Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto prediction for Tuesday, 27 October 2026: 32% home, 29% draw and 39% away in the Girabola. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.20 in total, split 1.04 to Recreativo da Caála and 1.16 to 1º de Agosto. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 38% and both teams to score 44%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is recreativo da Caála or 1º de Agosto (no draw) at 71%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Over the last 5 matches Recreativo da Caála stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; 1º de Agosto show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto reads 65% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 63%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 63%.
Both teams to score is 44%: Recreativo da Caála find the net in 65% of simulated matches and 1º de Agosto in 69%. Recreativo da Caála keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and 1º de Agosto 35%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.4%, then 0-1 at 12.9% and 1-0 at 11.5%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time 1º de Agosto, full-time 1º de Agosto leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 63%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto
The grid built from 1.04 and 1.16 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Recreativo da Caála to win32%fair 3.09
Draw29%fair 3.44
1º de Agosto to win39%fair 2.60
Recreativo da Caála, draw no bet46%fair 2.19
1º de Agosto, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Double chance
Recreativo da Caála or draw62%fair 1.63
1º de Agosto or draw68%fair 1.48
Recreativo da Caála or 1º de Agosto (no draw)71%fair 1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals65%fair 1.55
Over 2.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 13.89
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Under 2.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score44%fair 2.26
Not both teams to score56%fair 1.79
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.59
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.83
Second-half goal70%fair 1.42
Team goals
Recreativo da Caála to score65%fair 1.55
1º de Agosto to score69%fair 1.46
Recreativo da Caála clean sheet31%fair 3.19
1º de Agosto clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Recreativo da Caála to win to nil29%fair 3.47
1º de Agosto to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.4%
0-112.9%
1-011.5%
0-011.1%
1-27.8%
0-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
1º de Agosto / 1º de Agosto22.1%
Draw / Draw19.5%
Recreativo da Caála / Recreativo da Caála18.3%
Draw / 1º de Agosto14.6%
Draw / Recreativo da Caála12.7%
Questions about Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto
Who is favourite in Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto?
The model gives 1º de Agosto the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 38% backs the same picture with less variance.
Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Recreativo da Caála find the net in 65% of simulated matches and 1º de Agosto in 69%.
What time does Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Agosto kick off?
Kick-off is 16:15 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.