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MLS Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
New York City FCHomeLDDWD
1:1Half-time 0:1
Los Angeles FCAwayLDWDD
342739
New York City FC winDrawLos Angeles FC win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.89
1.40 : 1.49
Favourite
38%
Los Angeles FC
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

73%

Our prediction

New York City FC or Los Angeles FC (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.40 : 1.49
1.38fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.83fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.66fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Los Angeles FC, full-time Los Angeles FC
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC prediction

Our New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC prediction and pick

The New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. MLS on Saturday, 17 October 2026 gives New York City FC a 34% chance, Los Angeles FC 38% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.89 in total, split 1.40 to New York City FC and 1.49 to Los Angeles FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is new York City FC or Los Angeles FC (no draw) at 73%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Form check: New York City FC have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 7 conceded, Los Angeles FC 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.

Both teams to score is 60%: New York City FC find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Los Angeles FC in 78%. New York City FC keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Los Angeles FC 25%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 1-2 at 8.6% and 0-1 at 8.3%.

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Los Angeles FC, full-time Los Angeles FC leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 27% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

New York City FC to win34%fair 2.92
Draw27%fair 3.66
Los Angeles FC to win38%fair 2.60
New York City FC, draw no bet47%fair 2.12
Los Angeles FC, draw no bet53%fair 1.89

Double chance

New York City FC or draw62%fair 1.63
Los Angeles FC or draw66%fair 1.52
New York City FC or Los Angeles FC (no draw)73%fair 1.38

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.20
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score60%fair 1.66
Not both teams to score40%fair 2.51

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

New York City FC to score75%fair 1.33
Los Angeles FC to score78%fair 1.29
New York City FC clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Los Angeles FC clean sheet25%fair 4.05
New York City FC to win to nil21%fair 4.83
Los Angeles FC to win to nil23%fair 4.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-28.6%
0-18.3%
2-18.1%
1-07.8%
0-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Los Angeles FC / Los Angeles FC23.6%
New York City FC / New York City FC20.9%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Los Angeles FC13.5%
Draw / New York City FC12.3%

Questions about New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC

Who is favourite in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?

The model gives Los Angeles FC the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. New York City FC find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Los Angeles FC in 78%.

What time does New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC kick off?

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC starts at 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, New York City FC v Los Angeles FCNew York City FC or Los Angeles FC (no draw), 73%
1.38fair