New York Red BullsHomeLLWLL
Atlanta United FCAwayWLLLW
New York Red BullsHomeLLWLL
Atlanta United FCAwayWLLLW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | 4.08 | 3.44 | 1.39 | 2.95 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet | |
| 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.45 | 1.37 | 2.90 | 1.36 | 2.78 | Bet | |
| 1.93 | 4.08 | 3.44 | 1.39 | 2.95 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet | |
| 1.93 | 4.08 | 3.44 | 1.39 | 2.95 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC are 1.93 for New York Red Bulls at 22Bet, 4.08 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.45 for Atlanta United FC at BC.Game.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.95 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (Melbet) and no 2.90 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
New York Red Bulls host Atlanta United FC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the MLS, and the model has New York Red Bulls at 49%, the draw at 23% and Atlanta United FC at 28%: that is the New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.04 for New York Red Bulls and 1.51 for Atlanta United FC, a total of 3.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
New York Red Bulls or Atlanta United FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.24 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
New York Red Bulls average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Atlanta United FC 2.0 and 1.8 across 5.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 22Bet pay 1.39.
The chance of both teams scoring is 69%, built from New York Red Bulls scoring in 87% of runs and Atlanta United FC in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for New York Red Bulls and 13% for Atlanta United FC.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9%, then 1-1 at 8.8% and 2-2 at 6.8%.
With the top scoreline at 9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time New York Red Bulls, full-time New York Red Bulls leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 23% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives New York Red Bulls the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. New York Red Bulls find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Atlanta United FC in 78%.
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC starts at 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.