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Live 30 UTC
MLS Round 34 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
New York Red BullsHomeLLWLL
Sat 7 Nov
Atlanta United FCAwayWLLLW
492328
New York Red Bulls winDrawAtlanta United FC win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.55
2.04 : 1.51
Favourite
49%
New York Red Bulls
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
69%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Best odds for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.934.083.441.392.951.362.90Bet
BC.Game1.874.003.451.372.901.362.78Bet
Betwinner1.934.083.441.392.951.362.90Bet
Melbet1.934.083.441.392.951.362.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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New York Red Bulls to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC are 1.93 for New York Red Bulls at 22Bet, 4.08 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.45 for Atlanta United FC at BC.Game.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.95 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (Melbet) and no 2.90 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

77%

Our prediction

New York Red Bulls or Atlanta United FC (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 2.04 : 1.51-4.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.39
BTTSBoth teams to score
69% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time New York Red Bulls, full-time New York Red Bulls
32% chance3.16fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.25fair

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC prediction

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC prediction, who wins and at what price

New York Red Bulls host Atlanta United FC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the MLS, and the model has New York Red Bulls at 49%, the draw at 23% and Atlanta United FC at 28%: that is the New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.04 for New York Red Bulls and 1.51 for Atlanta United FC, a total of 3.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

New York Red Bulls or Atlanta United FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.24 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

New York Red Bulls average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Atlanta United FC 2.0 and 1.8 across 5.

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 22Bet pay 1.39.

The chance of both teams scoring is 69%, built from New York Red Bulls scoring in 87% of runs and Atlanta United FC in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for New York Red Bulls and 13% for Atlanta United FC.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9%, then 1-1 at 8.8% and 2-2 at 6.8%.

With the top scoreline at 9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time New York Red Bulls, full-time New York Red Bulls leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 23% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

New York Red Bulls to win49%1.93
Draw23%4.08
Atlanta United FC to win28%3.45
New York Red Bulls, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Atlanta United FC, draw no bet36%fair 2.79

Double chance

New York Red Bulls or draw72%1.31
Atlanta United FC or draw51%1.87
New York Red Bulls or Atlanta United FC (no draw)77%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.39
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 2.5 goals32%2.95
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90

BTTS

Both teams to score69%1.36
Not both teams to score31%2.90

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17

Team goals

New York Red Bulls to score87%fair 1.15
Atlanta United FC to score78%fair 1.28
New York Red Bulls clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Atlanta United FC clean sheet13%fair 7.69
New York Red Bulls to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Atlanta United FC to win to nil12%fair 8.33

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19%
1-18.8%
2-26.8%
1-26.7%
3-16.1%
2-06%

Half-time / full-time

New York Red Bulls / New York Red Bulls31.6%
Atlanta United FC / Atlanta United FC16.8%
Draw / New York Red Bulls14.8%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Draw / Atlanta United FC9.4%

Questions about New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

The model gives New York Red Bulls the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. New York Red Bulls find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Atlanta United FC in 78%.

What time does New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC kick off?

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC starts at 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FCNew York Red Bulls or Atlanta United FC (no draw), 77%
1.24Bet