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MLS Round 34 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
DC UnitedHomeLLLLL
Sat 7 Nov
New York City FCAwayLDDWD
322642
DC United winDrawNew York City FC win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.96
1.37 : 1.59
Favourite
42%
New York City FC
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

DC United vs New York City FC betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.983.602.271.632.291.512.39Bet
BC.Game2.863.502.281.612.201.502.36Bet
Betwinner2.983.602.271.632.291.512.39Bet
Melbet2.983.602.271.632.291.512.39Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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New York City FC to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best DC United price at 2.98, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.60 and BC.Game have New York City FC longest at 2.28.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.63 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.29 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (Betwinner) and no 2.39 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

74%

Our prediction

DC United or New York City FC (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.37 : 1.59-4.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time New York City FC, full-time New York City FC
26% chance3.88fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

DC United vs New York City FC prediction

DC United vs New York City FC prediction and best bet

New York City FC are marginally ahead in the DC United vs New York City FC prediction, rated 42% to win this MLS match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. DC United sit at 32% and the draw at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.37 for DC United and 1.59 for New York City FC, a total of 2.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

DC United or New York City FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

DC United average 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last 5, New York City FC 1.2 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for DC United vs New York City FC

On the goal lines DC United vs New York City FC reads 80% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; Betwinner pay 1.63.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from DC United scoring in 75% of runs and New York City FC in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for DC United and 25% for New York City FC.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for DC United vs New York City FC: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.2%).

With the top scoreline at 11.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for DC United vs New York City FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time New York City FC, full-time New York City FC leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for DC United vs New York City FC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 26% / 42% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

DC United to win32%2.98
Draw26%3.60
New York City FC to win42%2.28
DC United, draw no bet43%fair 2.33
New York City FC, draw no bet57%fair 1.75

Double chance

DC United or draw58%1.63
New York City FC or draw68%1.39
DC United or New York City FC (no draw)74%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.63
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals44%2.29
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.51
Not both teams to score38%2.39

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

DC United to score75%fair 1.34
New York City FC to score80%fair 1.26
DC United clean sheet20%fair 4.90
New York City FC clean sheet25%fair 3.94
DC United to win to nil19%fair 5.32
New York City FC to win to nil23%fair 4.27

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-29%
0-18.2%
2-17.7%
1-07.1%
0-26.6%

Half-time / full-time

New York City FC / New York City FC25.8%
DC United / DC United19.3%
Draw / New York City FC14.2%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / DC United11.5%

Questions about DC United vs New York City FC

Who will win DC United vs New York City FC?

The model gives New York City FC the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for DC United vs New York City FC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in DC United vs New York City FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. DC United find the net in 75% of simulated matches and New York City FC in 80%.

When do DC United play New York City FC?

DC United vs New York City FC starts at 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, DC United v New York City FCDC United or New York City FC (no draw), 74%
1.29Bet