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Live 18 UTC
MLS Round 30 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
Seattle SoundersHomeLDDLL
1:1Half-time 0:1
CF MontrealAwayLDLLD
711712
Seattle Sounders winDrawCF Montreal win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
3.53
2.56 : 0.97
Favourite
71%
Seattle Sounders
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

71%

Our prediction

Seattle Sounders to win
BankerExpected goals 2.56 : 0.97
1.40fair
Double chanceSeattle Sounders or draw
88% chance1.13fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.70fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Seattle Sounders, full-time Seattle Sounders
49% chance2.03fair

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal prediction

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal prediction and best bet

Seattle Sounders host CF Montreal on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the MLS, and the model has Seattle Sounders at 71%, the draw at 17% and CF Montreal at 12%: that is the Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.56 for Seattle Sounders and 0.97 for CF Montreal, a total of 3.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Seattle Sounders to win is the main selection, rated 71%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Seattle Sounders or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance.

The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Seattle Sounders average 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, CF Montreal 0.4 and 2.2 across 5.

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal reads 87% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%.

Both teams to score is 59%: Seattle Sounders find the net in 92% of simulated matches and CF Montreal in 62%. Seattle Sounders keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and CF Montreal 8%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 9.6%, then 2-1 at 9.3% and 3-0 at 8.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Seattle Sounders, full-time Seattle Sounders is the top combination at 49%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.

All markets, Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 71% / 17% / 12% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Seattle Sounders to win71%fair 1.40
Draw17%fair 5.88
CF Montreal to win12%fair 8.55
Seattle Sounders, draw no bet86%fair 1.16
CF Montreal, draw no bet14%fair 7.09

Double chance

Seattle Sounders or draw88%fair 1.13
CF Montreal or draw29%fair 3.48
Seattle Sounders or CF Montreal (no draw)83%fair 1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.13
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.57
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 2.5 goals33%fair 3.06
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.88

BTTS

Both teams to score59%fair 1.70
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.42

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.12
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17

Team goals

Seattle Sounders to score92%fair 1.08
CF Montreal to score62%fair 1.61
Seattle Sounders clean sheet38%fair 2.64
CF Montreal clean sheet8%fair 12.99
Seattle Sounders to win to nil35%fair 2.87
CF Montreal to win to nil7%fair 14.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-09.6%
2-19.3%
3-08.2%
3-17.9%
1-07.5%
1-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Seattle Sounders / Seattle Sounders49.2%
Draw / Seattle Sounders18.8%
Draw / Draw8.8%
CF Montreal / CF Montreal6.6%
Draw / CF Montreal4.5%

Questions about Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal

Who is favourite in Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

The model gives Seattle Sounders the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Seattle Sounders find the net in 92% of simulated matches and CF Montreal in 62%.

When is Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal and where is the result shown?

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal starts at 02:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Seattle Sounders v CF MontrealSeattle Sounders to win, 71%
1.40fair