Uruguay Primera División
Deportivo MaldonadoHomeDWLWW
2:1Half-time 0:1
DanubioAwayWWLWL522622
Deportivo Maldonado winDrawDanubio win
Deportivo MaldonadoHomeDWLWWDanubioAwayWWLWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.59 1.61 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 52% Deportivo Maldonado
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.34 | 3.89 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.81 | 1.88 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Deportivo Maldonado to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio are 1.82 for Deportivo Maldonado at 1xBet, 3.34 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.89 for Danubio at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Deportivo Maldonado to win
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw
78% chance1.18
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportivo Maldonado, full-time Deportivo Maldonado
32% chance3.13fair
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction and best bet
The Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction leans to Deportivo Maldonado: 52% against 22% for Danubio, with 26% left for the draw, in the Uruguay Primera División on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.59 in total, split 1.61 to Deportivo Maldonado and 0.98 to Danubio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Deportivo Maldonado to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.82 with 1xBet the market prices it at 55%, against 52% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio.
For a safer line, deportivo Maldonado or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.18.
Deportivo Maldonado average 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Danubio 2.4 and 0.8 across 5.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.75.
Both teams to score is 52%: Deportivo Maldonado find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Danubio in 63%. Deportivo Maldonado keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Danubio 20%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: 1-0 (12.1%), 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Deportivo Maldonado, full-time Deportivo Maldonado is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
The grid built from 1.61 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win52%1.82
Draw26%3.34
Danubio to win22%3.89
Deportivo Maldonado, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Danubio, draw no bet30%fair 3.32
Double chance
Deportivo Maldonado or draw78%1.18
Danubio or draw48%1.80
Deportivo Maldonado or Danubio (no draw)74%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.93
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.75
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.81
Not both teams to score48%1.88
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Deportivo Maldonado to score80%fair 1.25
Danubio to score63%fair 1.60
Deportivo Maldonado clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Danubio clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Deportivo Maldonado to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Danubio to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.1%
1-111.8%
2-09.7%
2-19.5%
0-07.5%
0-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Deportivo Maldonado / Deportivo Maldonado32%
Draw / Deportivo Maldonado17.5%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Danubio / Danubio12.7%
Draw / Danubio8.9%
Questions about Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado or Danubio: which side does the model back?
The model gives Deportivo Maldonado the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Deportivo Maldonado find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Danubio in 63%.
When do Deportivo Maldonado play Danubio?
Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.